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Sat 17 Oct · 15:00

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction

Follow ST JohnstoneFollow Dundee UtdFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
McDiarmid Park, Perth

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

ST Johnstone
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Dundee Utd
63Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd enter this Premiership encounter level on 11 points after eight matches, sitting fifth and sixth in the standings. Both teams hold identical league records of three wins, two draws, and three losses, underlining how closely matched they are heading into this fixture.

The hosts come into the match with only one defeat across their last five league games, which was a narrow 1-0 loss to Celtic. ST Johnstone have collected seven points from four home matches this season, driven by forward J. Fowler who has netted five league goals. Dundee Utd have also shown strong form recently, winning three of their past five league matches, including a 1-0 victory over Hibernian and a 3-0 win away at ST Mirren.

Head-to-head history indicates that encounters between these sides are traditionally tight and low-scoring. Across their last ten competitive meetings, the teams have averaged just 1.6 goals per game, with 70 percent of those matches finishing below the 2.5-goal mark.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. The last ten meetings between ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd averaged 1.6 goals per game, with 70 percent finishing under 2.5 goals.
  2. Both teams scored in only 30 percent of the previous ten head-to-head encounters.
  3. Four of ST Johnstone's last five Premiership fixtures have produced under 2.5 total goals.
  4. Both clubs have identical league records after eight games with three wins, two draws, and three losses.
  5. Dundee Utd have kept three clean sheets in eight league outings, including two shutouts on the road.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

ST Johnstone at homeDundee Utd away
5
Played
5
2-2-1
W-D-L
2-1-2
1.6
Scored /game
1.6
1.4
Conceded /game
1.6
0%
Clean sheets
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game (ST Johnstone at home plus Dundee Utd away).

Players

Key players this season

ST Johnstone

  • J. Fowler6G

Dundee Utd

  • J. Randall3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2RangersPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+620
3Heart Of MidlothianPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+516
4DundeePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9+314
5ST JohnstonePromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9012
6Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9-112
7AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)9011
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
ST Johnstone
2
Draws
4
Dundee Utd

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17ST Johnstone1-1Dundee Utd
  • 2025-04-12Dundee Utd1-0ST Johnstone
  • 2024-12-26ST Johnstone1-2Dundee Utd
  • 2024-08-24Dundee Utd2-0ST Johnstone
  • 2023-05-06ST Johnstone1-0Dundee Utd
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

59%42 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

The historical head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd strongly points toward a low-scoring match, with their previous ten encounters averaging just 1.6 goals per game. Under 2.5 goals landed in seven of those ten fixtures, and both teams scored in only 30 percent of them. Additionally, four of ST Johnstone's last five league matches have seen two or fewer goals, including a 1-0 win at Aberdeen, a 1-1 draw with Falkirk, and a 1-0 loss to Celtic. With both clubs level on points and defending positions in the top six, a compact and cautious contest is probable.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.