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Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction

Follow Stoke CityFollow Bristol CityFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent
Referee
James Bell

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Stoke City
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Bristol City
41Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw

BetGenius backs Stoke City or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Stoke City enter matchday 12 sitting in sixth place in the Championship table with 19 points from 11 matches. The Potters have been in strong form, recording four victories in their last five league outings, including a 1-0 away triumph over Derby last weekend. They have shown consistent attacking output, scoring in all 11 matches played this season, with an average of two goals per game across their five home fixtures.

Bristol City make the trip to the bet365 Stadium positioned 16th with 14 points. The Robins have dropped their last two matches by 1-0 scorelines, both on home turf, against Blackburn and Sheffield United. However, their away form has been resilient, picking up two wins and two draws from five road fixtures, scoring nine goals in the process.

Head-to-head encounters between the two clubs have been competitive, with Bristol City winning five and Stoke winning four of the last ten meetings. Stoke have maintained a high scoring floor at home, while Bristol City have not yet kept a clean sheet on their travels this season, setting up a clash where the hosts hold the upper hand.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Stoke City have scored in all 11 of their Championship matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per game at home.
  2. Stoke have won four of their last five league matches to climb into the playoff positions.
  3. Bristol City have conceded in every away match so far this campaign, allowing 1.8 goals per road fixture.
  4. Bristol City arrive having failed to score and losing their last two Championship matches.
  5. Bristol City are missing key personnel including defender R. Dickie through knee injury, while Stoke are without A. Ampah and A. Cresswell.
Availability

Team news

Stoke City

  • A. AmpahKnee Injury
  • E. BocatInjury
  • A. CresswellKnee Injury
  • S. GallagherInjury
  • S. IngelssonMuscle Injury

Bristol City

  • R. DickieKnee Injury
  • N. EileIllness
  • E. AdebayoInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Stoke City at homeBristol City away
5
Played
5
3-0-2
W-D-L
2-2-1
2
Scored /game
1.8
1.2
Conceded /game
1.8
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
0%

Combined scoring rate: 3.8 goals per game (Stoke City at home plus Bristol City away).

Players

Key players this season

Stoke City

  • E. Galbraith3A

Bristol City

  • Rio Cardines6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
Stoke City
1
Draws
5
Bristol City

Bristol City have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.1 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-02Bristol City2-0Stoke City
  • 2025-11-01Stoke City5-1Bristol City
  • 2025-02-12Bristol City2-0Stoke City
  • 2024-10-22Stoke City2-2Bristol City
  • 2024-05-04Stoke City4-0Bristol City
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Stoke City or Draw
74%
Confidence

Stoke City have built positive momentum with four wins from their last five matches and hold a top-six position. They have scored in every single league match this season, averaging two goals per home game. While Bristol City are competitive away from home with two wins and two draws from five trips, they have failed to keep a clean sheet on their travels and enter this fixture on the back of consecutive defeats. Backing Stoke to win or draw covers the likelihood of the hosts taking something from the match while respecting Bristol City's capacity to earn away draws.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.