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Thu 3 Sept · 19:45

Toulouse vs Lille prediction

Round
Regular Season - 3
Venue
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Referee
Mathieu Vernice
Form

Recent form

Toulouse
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Lille
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Lille or Draw

BetGenius backs Lille or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Toulouse welcome Lille to Stadium de Toulouse in round three of Ligue 1, looking to claim their first league victory of the campaign. The hosts have picked up one point from their opening two matches, having suffered a 2-0 home defeat against Lyon before earning a 2-2 draw on the road at Stade Brestois 29. With four goals conceded across two games, defensive stability remains an area of concern for Toulouse in the early stages of the season.

Lille arrive with strong momentum after gathering four points from their opening two fixtures. An opening 2-0 away triumph at Angers was followed by a spirited 2-2 home draw against Paris Saint Germain, where forward O. Giroud continued his fine start with a goal and two assists across the opening weeks. Les Dogues have displayed sharp attacking chemistry, netting twice in each of their league games so far.

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor the visitors. Lille have won the last four Ligue 1 meetings between the two clubs, including a decisive 4-0 victory in their most recent visit to this venue in April 2026. Given Lille's positive start and Toulouse's defensive vulnerabilities, the visitors are well placed to leave with a positive result.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Lille are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with four points from two matches, scoring two goals in each fixture.
  2. Toulouse have conceded four goals across their first two matches, losing their only home game 2-0 against Lyon.
  3. Lille have won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including the last four consecutive encounters.
  4. Lille forward O. Giroud has been directly involved in three goals in the opening two rounds with one goal and two assists.
  5. Toulouse enter the clash without A. Francis due to a muscle injury and A. Donnum due to personal reasons.
Availability

Team news

Toulouse

  • M. NifloreInjury
  • S. OppongCalf Injury

Lille

  • H. IgamaneKnee Injury
  • T. SantosKnee Injury
  • A. UedaFoot Injury
  • O. SahraouiCoach's decision
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Toulouse at homeLille away
3
Played
3
1-0-2
W-D-L
2-0-1
1
Scored /game
1.3
1.7
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Toulouse at home plus Lille away).

Players

Key players this season

Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt5G
  • C. Cásseres5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1LyonChampions League league stage7+814
2Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage7+514
3Paris FCChampions League league stage7+514
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
12Toulouse7+19
13Auxerre7-69
14Strasbourg7-37
15Angers7-67
History

Head-to-head

2
Toulouse
1
Draws
7
Lille

Lille have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-04-12Toulouse0-4Lille
  • 2025-09-14Lille2-1Toulouse
  • 2025-04-12Toulouse1-2Lille
  • 2024-10-05Lille2-1Toulouse
  • 2024-02-25Toulouse3-1Lille
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Lille or Draw
76%
Confidence

Lille enter this encounter unbeaten in the league with four points from two matches, including a 2-0 away win at Angers and a 2-2 draw with Paris Saint Germain. Toulouse have struggled to keep opponents quiet, conceding four goals in two fixtures and losing their sole home game 2-0 to Lyon. Furthermore, Lille have won each of the last four head-to-head matches between these two sides, making the double chance on the away side or a draw a strong probabilistic position.

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Published September 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.