Toulouse

Estac Troyes have struggled badly this season, losing 5 of their 7 league fixtures and sitting in 17th place with a negative goal difference of 11. They are winless against Toulouse in their last 10 meetings, having lost 6 and drawn 4. While Toulouse have had an uneven home record with 1 win and 2 losses, their overall form and attacking rhythm are far superior to Troyes, who have failed to win any of their last five matches. Backing Toulouse to either win or take a share of the points covers the most probable match outcomes based on form and head-to-head history.

Toulouse have seen high goal totals across recent weeks, with all of their last five matches producing 3 or more goals, including scorelines of 3-0, 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, and 2-2. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Troyes possess the poorest defense in the league table neighbourhood, conceding 2.3 goals per game on average and shipping at least two goals in each of their previous five fixtures. Given Troyes defensive issues and Toulouse consistent attacking output led by C. Tengstedt with 5 goals, this match shapes up as another open contest likely to surpass the 2.5 goal mark.

Toulouse or Draw — 77% confidence

Estac Troyes have struggled badly this season, losing 5 of their 7 league fixtures and sitting in 17th place with a negative goal difference of 11. They are winless against Toulouse in their last 10 meetings, having lost 6 and drawn 4. While Toulouse have had an uneven home record with 1 win and 2 losses, their overall form and attacking rhythm are far superior to Troyes, who have failed to win any of their last five matches. Backing Toulouse to either win or take a share of the points covers the most probable match outcomes based on form and head-to-head history.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Toulouse have seen high goal totals across recent weeks, with all of their last five matches producing 3 or more goals, including scorelines of 3-0, 2-2, 2-3, 3-2, and 2-2. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Troyes possess the poorest defense in the league table neighbourhood, conceding 2.3 goals per game on average and shipping at least two goals in each of their previous five fixtures. Given Troyes defensive issues and Toulouse consistent attacking output led by C. Tengstedt with 5 goals, this match shapes up as another open contest likely to surpass the 2.5 goal mark.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Le Mans’ unbeaten home record and Toulouse’s winless away form make a home defeat unlikely. The home side’s average of two goals per game at home offsets the away side’s two‑goal average away, but both teams concede regularly and have no clean sheets, pointing to a low‑scoring encounter that should stay under 2.5 goals. Injuries to Le Mans’ key attacker further reduce the chance of a high‑scoring game, supporting the double‑chance on a home win or draw.

Monaco are unbeaten in Ligue 1 this season with four wins and one draw, including two wins from two home fixtures. Toulouse have yet to win on the road, drawing both away matches 2-2 while conceding nine goals across their five games overall. While the absence of suspended top scorer Paris Josua Brunner slightly dampens Monaco's finishing power, their defensive concession rate of only 0.6 goals per game provides a very reliable platform to take points at home.

Under 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Toulouse have failed to score in both of their home league matches so far, losing 1-0 to Lille and 2-0 to Lyon. Le Havre have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per game across the campaign, with three of their four competitive fixtures seeing two or fewer total goals. Given the low attacking output of both sides, under 2.5 match goals is strongly supported.

Toulouse or Draw — 72% confidence

While Toulouse have had a slow start at home, Le Havre arrive severely weakened by injuries and unavailabilities across multiple positions, including J. Mwanga, A. Toure, and R. Ndiaye. Le Havre have yet to secure a league win this season, giving Toulouse a solid foundation to take at least a point from this fixture.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

While Toulouse have had a slow start at home, Le Havre arrive severely weakened by injuries and unavailabilities across multiple positions, including J. Mwanga, A. Toure, and R. Ndiaye. Le Havre have yet to secure a league win this season, giving Toulouse a solid foundation to take at least a point from this fixture.

Toulouse have failed to score in both of their home league matches so far, losing 1-0 to Lille and 2-0 to Lyon. Le Havre have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per game across the campaign, with three of their four competitive fixtures seeing two or fewer total goals. Given the low attacking output of both sides, under 2.5 match goals is strongly supported.

Lorient have shown steady defensive balance in the early stages of the season, conceding only two goals across three matches and picking up a 1-0 win away at Lens last time out. Toulouse are yet to find a victory in league play, having conceded five goals across their first three fixtures and dealing with key absences in G. Restes, A. Francis, and A. Donnum. Five of the last ten meetings between these sides have ended in draws, making the home-or-draw selection well-supported by both recent form and past encounters.

Lille enter this encounter unbeaten in the league with four points from two matches, including a 2-0 away win at Angers and a 2-2 draw with Paris Saint Germain. Toulouse have struggled to keep opponents quiet, conceding four goals in two fixtures and losing their sole home game 2-0 to Lyon. Furthermore, Lille have won each of the last four head-to-head matches between these two sides, making the double chance on the away side or a draw a strong probabilistic position.

Under 2.5 Goals — 62% confidence

Across their last 10 head-to-head encounters, 60% of matches finished with under 2.5 total goals. Toulouse failed to find the net in their opening game against Lyon, suggesting a cautious setup away from home, which favours a lower-scoring outcome.

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw — 74% confidence

Brest demonstrated offensive potency by scoring twice in their opening match against Le Mans, while Toulouse were held scoreless in their 0-2 home defeat to Lyon. Brest have also avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Toulouse (5 wins, 3 draws). Backing Brest in the double chance market provides strong coverage.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Brest demonstrated offensive potency by scoring twice in their opening match against Le Mans, while Toulouse were held scoreless in their 0-2 home defeat to Lyon. Brest have also avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Toulouse (5 wins, 3 draws). Backing Brest in the double chance market provides strong coverage.

Across their last 10 head-to-head encounters, 60% of matches finished with under 2.5 total goals. Toulouse failed to find the net in their opening game against Lyon, suggesting a cautious setup away from home, which favours a lower-scoring outcome.

Both teams have consistently generated chances in their recent matches and past meetings. In their 10-game head-to-head sample, 70% of fixtures saw both sides find the net, with an average of 3 goals per match. Toulouse scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Lyon have registered goals in 4 of their previous 5 fixtures.