BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Referee
Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
Form

Recent form

Valencia
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Athletic Club
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw

BetGenius backs Athletic Club or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Valencia welcome Athletic Club to Mestalla sitting 19th in La Liga, having collected just five points from their opening eight fixtures. Ruben Baraja's side has struggled significantly on home soil, failing to register a single victory in four attempts while conceding nine goals and failing to score in three of those matches. With a lengthy injury list depleting their squad depth, Valencia face another demanding test against disciplined opposition.

Athletic Club arrive in tenth position with games in hand, having established steady form over recent weeks. The Basque outfit are unbeaten across their past five competitive matches, recording two wins and three draws while conceding just one goal in that span. Even with key personnel sidelined in attack, Ernesto Valverde's men remain compact and difficult to break down, holding opponents scoreless in three of their last five outings.

Recent head-to-head encounters also lean toward the visitors, who have claimed six victories in the last ten clashes between the clubs, including four wins at Mestalla. Given Valencia's offensive struggles and Athletic Club's defensive solidity, a tightly contested encounter with limited scoring opportunities appears likely.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Valencia have not won at home in four league matches, scoring only two goals and suffering three defeats.
  2. Athletic Club are undefeated in their last five fixtures, recording two victories and three draws.
  3. Valencia have failed to score in three of their four home games, averaging just 0.5 goals per match at Mestalla.
  4. Athletic Club have conceded only one goal in their past five matches, keeping clean sheets in three of them.
  5. Head-to-head history favours Athletic Club, who have won six of the last ten meetings between the two teams, including four at Mestalla.
Availability

Team news

Valencia

  • S. CanosKnee Injury
  • J. CopeteKnee Injury
  • D. FoulquierKnee Injury
  • D. LopezKnee Injury
  • U. SadiqMuscle Injury

Athletic Club

  • U. EgiluzKnee Injury
  • G. GuruzetaKnee Injury
  • O. SancetMuscle Injury
  • A. LaporteRed Card
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Valencia at homeAthletic Club away
5
Played
4
0-2-3
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.4
Scored /game
0.8
1.8
Conceded /game
1.3
40%
Clean sheets
—
80%
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.2 goals per game (Valencia at home plus Athletic Club away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
14Rayo Vallecano8-59
15Getafe9-69
16Espanyol9-18
17Racing Santander9-128
18ElcheRelegation - LaLiga29-67
19ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga29-96
20MalagaRelegation - LaLiga210-125
History

Head-to-head

3
Valencia
2
Draws
5
Athletic Club

Athletic Club have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17Valencia0-0Athletic Club
  • 2026-05-10Athletic Club0-1Valencia
  • 2026-02-04Valencia1-2Athletic Club
  • 2025-09-20Valencia2-0Athletic Club
  • 2025-05-18Valencia0-1Athletic Club
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

73%91 won from 124 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
74%
Confidence

Valencia remain winless at home this season with three defeats and one draw from four matches, scoring only two goals at Mestalla while conceding nine. Their attacking limitations are exacerbated by injuries to players such as Umar Sadiq and Sergi Canos. Athletic Club enter this contest on a five-match unbeaten run, built largely on a defensive unit that has conceded just one goal across those five games. While Athletic are missing Nico Williams and Oihan Sancet, their defensive structure gives them a clear advantage to leave Mestalla with at least a point.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.