Estonia

Iceland enter this fixture unbeaten in their three Nations League matches, recording two dominant 3-0 wins following an initial 1-1 draw with Estonia. They have conceded only one goal across the campaign while averaging over two goals scored per match. Estonia's compact five-man defensive line has kept their games low-scoring, including two 1-1 draws in their recorded meetings with Iceland. Backing Iceland to secure at least a point reflects their superior current form while respecting Estonia's stubborn defensive structure at home.

Iceland have been potent in group play, scoring seven goals across three matches, while Estonia found the net against them in the 1-1 draw in September. However, Estonia's 5-3-2 defensive setup has kept scores tight, with none of their last five matches exceeding two total goals. Both head-to-head meetings between these sides finished exactly 1-1. The evidence strongly supports at least two goals being scored, but does not sufficiently justify a third goal against Estonia's disciplined low block.

Estonia have maintained a compact defensive framework in their 5-3-2 system, resulting in each of their last five matches finishing with under 2.5 total goals. They earned a disciplined 1-1 draw away at Iceland in their opener, having previously kept clean sheets against Lithuania and Faroe Islands. Bulgaria managed only a single goal in their 2-1 defeat to Luxembourg, and with the group averaging 1.5 goals per game, another tight contest with limited scoring chances is likely.