Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia’s home record is markedly better than Newells’ away form. At home they have won 7 of 13, score 1.3 goals per game and concede only 0.8, while Newells away have won just 3 of 13, score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The single head‑to‑head meeting ended with a narrow 1‑0 home win for Newells, but the overall trends favour a home win or at least a draw. The combined scoring averages (≈2.2 goals per match) and the defensive records point to a low‑scoring game, supporting an under‑2.5 goal outlook.

Estudiantes L.P. have conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per game at home this season and kept seven clean sheets in 14 home fixtures. Gimnasia M. have found it difficult on their travels, losing seven of 13 away matches and conceding 20 goals. While Estudiantes have suffered recent setbacks, their disciplined home structure makes them well-positioned to take at least a point against an opponent that averages 0.8 goals per game on the road.