Vaprus

Flora Tallinn possess a substantial advantage across multiple indicators. They hold an 18-point cushion over Vaprus in the standings and average 2.1 goals scored per home match. Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora, who have won eight of the last ten meetings, including all three league matchups in 2026 by scores of 2-0, 2-1, and 2-1. Meanwhile, Vaprus have lost nine of their 14 away matches and conceded 32 goals on their travels.

Paide have demonstrated consistent home form with seven wins and just one draw from 12 league games on home turf, conceding only 12 goals in that stretch. In contrast, Vaprus have lost eight of their 13 away matches and allow an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road. Paide have also won five of the six past encounters against Vaprus played at their home ground, making them well positioned to secure at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 79% confidence

Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.

FC Levadia Tallinn to win — 83% confidence

FC Levadia Tallinn are in formidable league form, winning each of their last five matches and accumulating 65 points from 26 rounds. At home, they have won eight of 12 games while outscoring visitors 36 to seven. In contrast, Vaprus have lost seven of their 12 away fixtures, allowing 2.2 goals per game on the road. Levadia have also claimed seven wins in the last ten meetings between these two sides.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

FC Levadia Tallinn are in formidable league form, winning each of their last five matches and accumulating 65 points from 26 rounds. At home, they have won eight of 12 games while outscoring visitors 36 to seven. In contrast, Vaprus have lost seven of their 12 away fixtures, allowing 2.2 goals per game on the road. Levadia have also claimed seven wins in the last ten meetings between these two sides.

Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.

Both teams have scored in all ten of the most recent head-to-head encounters between Levadia and Vaprus. Vaprus have found the net in each of their last five league matches, scoring nine goals in that sequence, while Levadia have conceded in three of their past four Meistriliiga outings.

Vaprus have avoided defeat in eight of their 13 home league matches this season, securing six victories and two draws. Laagri have struggled for consistency on the road, losing eight of their 12 away fixtures while conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Backing the home side to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in a tightly contested fixture.

Recent encounters between these two clubs have produced exceptionally high goal tallies, including 3-2 and 7-1 scorelines in 2026 league meetings, as well as a 3-2 cup encounter played on September 2. Nomme United have conceded 60 goals in 25 league matches with zero clean sheets recorded, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per match away from home. Vaprus also average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per home match, pointing towards another open contest that clears the 2.5 goal line.

Both clubs have registered an exceptionally low number of draws in the league this season, with Kuressaare drawing only 3 of their 24 fixtures and Vaprus drawing just 3 of their 23 matches. Furthermore, none of the last seven head-to-head meetings between them have finished level, making a decisive result for either side the statistically favoured outcome. Double Chance provides a well-supported hedge against match variance.