Meistriliiga (Estonia)

Flora’s 14‑point cushion over Laagri, better goal‑scoring average and a 9‑1 head‑to‑head record indicate they are the stronger side. Laagri’s recent home surge narrows the gap but does not erase Flora’s advantage, making a win or draw for the away team the most supported outcome. The historical goal average of 3.1 and a 60% over‑2.5 rate further suggest the match will produce at least three goals, justifying the OVER 2.5 call.

Flora Tallinn possess a substantial advantage across multiple indicators. They hold an 18-point cushion over Vaprus in the standings and average 2.1 goals scored per home match. Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora, who have won eight of the last ten meetings, including all three league matchups in 2026 by scores of 2-0, 2-1, and 2-1. Meanwhile, Vaprus have lost nine of their 14 away matches and conceded 32 goals on their travels.

Levadia Tallinn possess an overwhelming multi-signal advantage in this fixture. Levadia hold a 53-point advantage in the standings over bottom-ranked Trans Narva, remaining unbeaten on their travels with 12 wins from 14 matches. Narva have lost 20 of their 28 league fixtures this season and have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game. Furthermore, all three Meistriliiga meetings between the two clubs in 2026 have produced decisive Levadia victories by scorelines of 7-0, 3-1, and 4-0, fully supporting the away victory.

Kalju Nomme hold a commanding historical advantage in this fixture, winning seven and drawing two of the previous ten head-to-head meetings. In their last five visits to Tammeka, Kalju have won four and drawn one without suffering a single defeat. Furthermore, Kalju have conceded an average of just 0.7 goals per away match in the league this season, keeping clean sheets in over half of their away fixtures. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat aligns well with these long-term head-to-head trends and strong away defensive fundamentals.

Paide possess a flawless record against Nõmme United in official meetings, winning all eight previous encounters including three victories already in the 2026 campaign by 3-1, 3-2, and 4-1 scorelines. Paide have avoided defeat in 11 of their 14 away league fixtures, earning six wins and five draws. In contrast, Nõmme United have lost nine of their 13 home games and have not kept a single clean sheet across 27 league fixtures, conceding 62 goals in total. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat aligns well with the structural gap in points and head-to-head dominance while covering for potential away draws.

Both teams to score has landed in nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides, representing a 90 percent occurrence rate in that sample. All three clashes during 2026 produced five goals with both sides scoring at least twice. Kuressaare have conceded in all 14 of their away league fixtures this season, allowing 1.9 goals per match on the road. Meanwhile, Laagri average 1.6 goals scored per home game but have conceded 21 goals in 14 home outings, making defensive stability elusive for both teams.

Levadia possess a clear advantage across every statistical metric. The league leaders average 3.1 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match on home soil, where they have secured 9 wins from 13 games. They have not failed to score in any home or away league match this season. Furthermore, the historical matchup exhibits complete dominance, with Levadia winning 9 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures against Tammeka, including a 100 percent win rate across the five home clashes in that sample. Given Tammeka concede 1.7 goals per match on their travels and Levadia arrive on a prolonged winning run, the home side is well positioned to secure the win.

Paide have demonstrated consistent home form with seven wins and just one draw from 12 league games on home turf, conceding only 12 goals in that stretch. In contrast, Vaprus have lost eight of their 13 away matches and allow an average of 2.3 goals per game on the road. Paide have also won five of the six past encounters against Vaprus played at their home ground, making them well positioned to secure at least a point.

Tammeka hold a 13-point advantage over Kuressaare in the league standings and have won six of the last ten meetings between the two clubs. Tammeka have already defeated Kuressaare twice in 2026 by 1-0 scorelines. Kuressaare have lost 15 of their 27 league fixtures this season and failed to score in 13 matches, making the away win or draw a well-supported outcome. In addition, head-to-head encounters average only 1.9 goals per game with 70 percent staying under 2.5 goals.

Paide (draw no bet) — 75% confidence

Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.

Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.

Flora Tallinn hold second place with 16 wins from 26 matches, backed by eight victories in 12 away trips. In head-to-head meetings, Flora have won six of the eight clashes against Nõmme United. Nõmme United have lost nine of their 13 home games and have not kept a single clean sheet across 27 league outings, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game on home soil. Backing Flora to win or draw covers potential away variance while reflecting their superior league standing and head-to-head dominance.

Trans Narva Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Trans Narva have scored just five goals in 13 away league games this season, averaging 0.4 goals per match on the road. They have also failed to score in nine of those 13 away fixtures, making it probable they remain under the 1.5 goal mark in this fixture.

Kalju Nomme or Draw — 76% confidence

Kalju Nomme hold a significant 26-point advantage over bottom-placed Trans Narva in the standings. Although Kalju have lost five consecutive matches, Trans Narva have struggled badly on their travels, suffering 11 defeats in 13 away league fixtures. Backing the hosts on the double chance accounts for recent home form while reflecting the visitors poor away record.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Kalju Nomme hold a significant 26-point advantage over bottom-placed Trans Narva in the standings. Although Kalju have lost five consecutive matches, Trans Narva have struggled badly on their travels, suffering 11 defeats in 13 away league fixtures. Backing the hosts on the double chance accounts for recent home form while reflecting the visitors poor away record.

Trans Narva have scored just five goals in 13 away league games this season, averaging 0.4 goals per match on the road. They have also failed to score in nine of those 13 away fixtures, making it probable they remain under the 1.5 goal mark in this fixture.

Over 2.5 Goals — 79% confidence

Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.

FC Levadia Tallinn to win — 83% confidence

FC Levadia Tallinn are in formidable league form, winning each of their last five matches and accumulating 65 points from 26 rounds. At home, they have won eight of 12 games while outscoring visitors 36 to seven. In contrast, Vaprus have lost seven of their 12 away fixtures, allowing 2.2 goals per game on the road. Levadia have also claimed seven wins in the last ten meetings between these two sides.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

FC Levadia Tallinn are in formidable league form, winning each of their last five matches and accumulating 65 points from 26 rounds. At home, they have won eight of 12 games while outscoring visitors 36 to seven. In contrast, Vaprus have lost seven of their 12 away fixtures, allowing 2.2 goals per game on the road. Levadia have also claimed seven wins in the last ten meetings between these two sides.

Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, with the meetings averaging 4.1 goals per game. Levadia average 3.0 goals scored per match at home this season and have not failed to score in any league game. Meanwhile, Vaprus concede 2.2 goals per away fixture and have seen at least three total goals scored in three of their last four league matches.

Both teams have scored in all ten of the most recent head-to-head encounters between Levadia and Vaprus. Vaprus have found the net in each of their last five league matches, scoring nine goals in that sequence, while Levadia have conceded in three of their past four Meistriliiga outings.