BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Referee
Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Form

Recent form

Alverca
59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Santa Clara
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw

BetGenius backs Santa Clara or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Alverca host Santa Clara in round 4 of the Primeira Liga, with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. The home side occupy 17th place in the relegation zone, having collected just one point from their opening three fixtures (one draw and two defeats). Defensively, Alverca have struggled, conceding seven goals across those three games at an average of 2.3 per match.

Santa Clara, on the other hand, enter this contest in 3rd position, unbeaten with seven points from their first three matches (two wins and one draw). The visitors have displayed strong defensive organisation, keeping two clean sheets and conceding only twice all season. Leading their attack is Gonçalo Paciência, who has scored four goals already this term.

The historical head-to-head record further points to a tough test for Alverca. Across their two previous league meetings, Santa Clara remained undefeated, claiming a 2-1 home victory and securing a 1-1 draw at Alverca.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Santa Clara are unbeaten through three league matches (2 wins, 1 draw) and sit 3rd in the table.
  2. Alverca are winless in their opening three games (1 draw, 2 losses) and have conceded seven goals.
  3. Santa Clara have maintained two clean sheets in three league matches, conceding just 0.7 goals per game on average.
  4. Gonçalo Paciência provides a potent focal point for the visitors, having registered four league goals.
  5. Santa Clara are undefeated in recent head-to-head fixtures against Alverca, with one win and one draw.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alverca at homeSanta Clara away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
3-1-0
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
1.3
Conceded /game
0.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Alverca at home plus Santa Clara away).

Players

Key players this season

Santa Clara

  • Gonçalo Paciência5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC PortoPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1624
2BenficaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1719
3Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1118
4Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+818
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+414
6GIL Vicente8+214
7Academico Viseu8+114
8Alverca8+111
9SC Braga8-111
10Estrela8-110
11Vitória SC908
History

Head-to-head

0
Alverca
2
Draws
1
Santa Clara

Santa Clara have won 1 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-08-29Alverca1-1Santa Clara
  • 2026-02-21Alverca1-1Santa Clara
  • 2025-09-20Santa Clara2-1Alverca
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%50 won from 72 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw
76%
Confidence

Santa Clara enter this fixture unbeaten in the league with two wins and a draw, conceding just two goals in three matches. In contrast, Alverca have yet to win a match, recording a draw and two defeats while conceding seven goals. With Santa Clara also undefeated across their two prior head-to-head meetings with Alverca, the visitors hold a strong probability of coming away with at least a point.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.