BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Referee
Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Form

Recent form

Casa Pia
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Santa Clara
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw

BetGenius backs Santa Clara or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Casa Pia enter this round eight fixture in seventeenth place, having gathered just four points from their opening seven league games. Their domestic campaign has been particularly difficult on home soil, where they have suffered three consecutive defeats while scoring a solitary goal and conceding twelve. Despite a recent 2-1 away victory against Estoril, the Lisbon side has struggled for attacking output, failing to score in five of their seven league outings.

Santa Clara arrive in Lisbon riding an impressive unbeaten streak, sitting fourth in the Primeira Liga table with fifteen points from four wins and three draws. The Azoreans have displayed remarkable structural discipline, conceding only four goals across seven matches while keeping four clean sheets. Their away record is equally sound, taking seven points from three road fixtures.

Head-to-head records also point toward a controlled contest. Across seven previous encounters between the sides, matches have averaged just 1.71 goals, with Santa Clara avoiding defeat in five of those clashes. With Casa Pia averaging only 0.4 goals per game overall and Santa Clara conceding just 0.6 per match, the visitors possess a substantial edge in form and stability.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Santa Clara are unbeaten in the Primeira Liga this season with four wins and three draws from seven matches.
  2. Casa Pia have lost all three of their home league matches, scoring once and conceding twelve goals.
  3. Santa Clara boast one of the league's strongest defensive records, conceding four goals in seven games with four clean sheets.
  4. Casa Pia have failed to find the net in five of their seven league games this season.
  5. The previous seven meetings between these sides have averaged only 1.71 goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Casa Pia at homeSanta Clara away
4
Played
—
0-0-4
W-D-L
—
0.3
Scored /game
—
3.3
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Players

Key players this season

Santa Clara

  • Gonçalo Paciência5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC PortoPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1624
2BenficaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)8+1719
3Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1118
4Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+818
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+414
6GIL Vicente8+214
7Academico Viseu8+114
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
16NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)8-94
17Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-144
18EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-82
History

Head-to-head

2
Casa Pia
2
Draws
4
Santa Clara

Santa Clara have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 1.6 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-10Casa Pia0-1Santa Clara
  • 2026-04-18Casa Pia0-0Santa Clara
  • 2025-12-06Santa Clara1-0Casa Pia
  • 2025-02-01Santa Clara2-1Casa Pia
  • 2024-08-24Casa Pia0-2Santa Clara
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%49 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Santa Clara or Draw
75%
Confidence

Santa Clara remain unbeaten through seven rounds with four wins and three draws, having conceded just four times all season. Casa Pia have lost five of their seven matches and failed to take any points from their three home fixtures, scoring just one goal at home. Santa Clara have also avoided defeat in each of their last four meetings with Casa Pia across all competitions, making the visitors well placed to claim at least a point.

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Published October 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.