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Sun 18 Oct · 22:00

Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo prediction

Follow Estudiantes L.P.Follow San Lorenzo Follow this match

Round: Clausura - 13
Venue: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee: S. Martinez

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P.

42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

San Lorenzo

45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Estudiantes L.P. or Draw

BetGenius backs Estudiantes L.P. or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Estudiantes L.P. welcome San Lorenzo to La Plata sitting atop the Liga Profesional table with 31 points from 16 matches. The hosts have established a formidable record on their own ground this season, picking up nine victories from 15 home fixtures and conceding just eight goals in the process.

San Lorenzo enter this contest in seventh position with 22 points, looking to steady an uneven campaign. While they remain competitive defensively, their travels have yielded very little attacking output, scoring just seven times across 15 away matches and recording seven draws alongside six defeats on the road.

Recent history points to an exceptionally tight, low-scoring fixture between these two sides. Across their last ten meetings in all competitions, six finished level and nine stayed under 2.5 goals, suggesting margins will be slim once again.

Analysis

Key factors

Estudiantes have won nine of their 15 home league matches while conceding only eight goals.
San Lorenzo have managed only two wins from 15 away matches this season, drawing seven.
San Lorenzo have scored just seven goals in 15 away games and failed to score in nine of them.
Six of the last ten meetings between Estudiantes and San Lorenzo have ended in draws.
Nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures between the two sides have produced under 2.5 goals, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Estudiantes L.P. at homeSan Lorenzo away

Played

2-4-0

W-D-L

2-7-6

Scored /game

0.5

0.7

Conceded /game

0.9

33%

Clean sheets

40%

17%

Failed to score

60%

40%

BTTS (last 5)

20%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.5 goals per game (Estudiantes L.P. at home plus San Lorenzo away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.Knockout Phase	16	+12	31
2	Boca JuniorsKnockout Phase	16	+13	30
3	Velez SarsfieldKnockout Phase	16	+6	28
4	Talleres CordobaKnockout Phase	16	+4	26
5	IndependienteKnockout Phase	16	+4	24
6	LanusKnockout Phase	16	+3	24
7	San LorenzoKnockout Phase	16	0	22
8	Union Santa FeKnockout Phase	16	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	-3	19

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Estudiantes L.P.: 5
Draws: 4
San Lorenzo

San Lorenzo have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.

2026-10-18Estudiantes L.P.1-2San Lorenzo
2026-04-03San Lorenzo1-0Estudiantes L.P.
2024-11-05San Lorenzo1-1Estudiantes L.P.
2024-02-13San Lorenzo1-1Estudiantes L.P.
2023-09-20Estudiantes L.P.0-0San Lorenzo

BetGenius

Our record in Liga Profesional

62%18 won from 29 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Double Chance

Estudiantes L.P. or Draw

75%

Confidence

Estudiantes have been dominant at home, winning nine of their 15 matches and conceding at an average of just 0.5 goals per game. San Lorenzo have struggled to generate victories on the road, winning only two of 15 away fixtures while failing to score in nine of them. Although San Lorenzo have proved resilient enough to draw seven away games and six of the last ten head-to-head encounters, their lack of away firepower makes an outright away victory unlikely against the league leaders. Pairing the home win with the draw covers the high likelihood of a stalemate while leaning into Estudiantes' strong home form.

Explore

Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Liga Profesional

1 published market

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