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Sat 17 Oct · 14:30

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen
Referee: Richard Hempel, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

FC Schalke 04

45Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

FSV Mainz 05

62Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

BetGenius backs FSV Mainz 05 or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

FC Schalke 04 welcome FSV Mainz 05 to the Veltins-Arena for matchday six of the Bundesliga season. The hosts sit 13th in the table with five points from five matches, having produced two goalless draws in their two home fixtures to date. Schalke have maintained a stubborn defensive shape at home, though their inability to score on their own ground has kept them in the lower half of the standings.

FSV Mainz 05 occupy eighth position with seven points and have been remarkably effective on their travels, winning both of their away league matches while scoring nine times. However, the visitors face significant squad management issues, arriving with seven players sidelined through injury including Robin Zentner, Silvan Widmer, Dominik Kohr, and Philipp Mwene. Schalke are also without Moussa Sylla and Dejan Ljubicic.

Historically, Schalke have held the upper hand in this fixture, winning six of the last ten meetings while Mainz have managed just one victory in that span. Nonetheless, Mainz possess the sharper attacking edge entering this clash, led by Phillip Tietz with four goals and Sheraldo Becker with three assists, setting up a clash of styles against a defensively minded home unit.

Analysis

Key factors

Schalke have failed to score at home this season, recording two 0-0 draws in two matches
Mainz hold a perfect away record with two victories and nine goals scored in two away fixtures
Mainz striker Phillip Tietz has scored four goals while Sheraldo Becker has provided three assists
Mainz are missing seven players through injury, including Robin Zentner, Silvan Widmer, and Dominik Kohr
The head-to-head record across the last ten meetings features an average of just 2.0 goals per game

Availability

Team news

FC Schalke 04

K. KaramanMuscle Injury
D. LjubicicKnee Injury
R. SchallenbergLeg Injury
M. SyllaLeg Injury
M. WoberMuscle Injury

FSV Mainz 05

D. KohrFoot Injury
SilasBroken shinbone
O. RuoppiKnee Injury
R. ZentnerHand Injury

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FC Schalke 04 at homeFSV Mainz 05 away

Played

0-2-1

W-D-L

3-0-0

Scored /game

3.3

0.3

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

40%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (FC Schalke 04 at home plus FSV Mainz 05 away).

Players

Key players this season

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz5G
S. Becker3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage	6	+7	14
3	SC FreiburgChampions League league stage	6	+9	13
4	Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage	6	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage	6	+4	10
6	SV ElversbergQualifying	6	+1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	+5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	0	9
12	1. FC Köln	6	-3	7
13	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
14	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs	6	-4	5
17	Union BerlinRelegation	6	-12	5
18	Borussia MönchengladbachRelegation	7	-11	3

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
FC Schalke 04: 3
Draws: 1
FSV Mainz 05

FC Schalke 04 have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game.

2023-05-05FSV Mainz 052-3FC Schalke 04
2022-11-09FC Schalke 041-0FSV Mainz 05
2021-03-05FC Schalke 040-0FSV Mainz 05
2020-11-07FSV Mainz 052-2FC Schalke 04
2020-02-16FSV Mainz 050-0FC Schalke 04

BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%57 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

72%

Confidence

Mainz have shown impressive potency away from home this season, collecting maximum points from two away fixtures and scoring nine goals. In contrast, Schalke have failed to score in both of their home matches, recording back-to-back 0-0 draws. While Mainz must contend with a lengthy injury list that includes Zentner, Widmer, and Mwene, the attacking output of Tietz and Becker gives them a functional edge in the final third. Covering the away win alongside the draw accounts for Schalke's defensive solidity at home while reflecting their ongoing difficulties in converting chances into goals.

Explore

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

FC Schalke 04

FSV Mainz 05

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

FSV Mainz 05

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Bundesliga

1 published market

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