Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten through six Bundesliga matches with four wins and two draws, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per game. Eintracht Frankfurt have shown defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding ten goals in three away fixtures at an average of 3.3 per match. Furthermore, Dortmund have won all four of their most recent home meetings with Frankfurt in head-to-head league action, making the hosts strongly favored to take at least a point.

Sabah FA’s home goal average (2.8) and recent 3‑0, 4‑0 victories indicate they are likely to score three or more goals. Dortmund’s away record shows a near‑zero scoring rate, but their defence has been breached regularly, conceding an average of one goal per away game. Combining a potent home attack with a modestly porous Dortmund defence makes a total of three or more goals a realistic outcome, whereas a total of only two goals would require Dortmund to score while keeping Sabah’s attack under its usual output, which is less consistent with the evidence.

Sabah's dominant home stats – five straight wins, 14 goals scored and only two conceded – give them a high probability of at least a draw. Dortmund have not scored away and are missing key attackers, reducing their chance of a win. The double‑chance Home or Draw covers the most likely outcomes while limiting exposure to a loss. Both teams’ recent goal averages suggest a total below 2.5, supporting the under 2.5 line.

Borussia Dortmund enter this contest in dominant league form, having won four of their five Bundesliga fixtures without suffering defeat. Their defensive record is among the best in the division, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average, compared to Union Berlin who concede an average of 3.4 goals per match overall. Although Union Berlin have collected four points at home, Dortmund have claimed eight wins from the past 10 meetings between the two sides, making the away win or draw a solidly backed position.

Dortmund have a superior recent record and a higher competition rank, suggesting they are unlikely to lose. Their previous draw with Bodo/Glimt and both teams’ recent goal‑scoring trends support at least a point for the visitors. Bodo/Glimt’s defensive injuries increase the risk of a Dortmund loss, while their home scoring ability keeps the match open, justifying the away‑or‑draw hedge and an over‑2.5 goal expectation.

Borussia Dortmund have started the campaign in flawless form, winning all four league fixtures while maintaining clean sheets in both home games. Werder Bremen remain winless on the road this season with five goals conceded across two away matches. Historical matchups also point toward the hosts, as Dortmund have won seven of the last ten meetings. Covering both the home win and the draw accounts for Bremen's scoring ability, as the visitors have scored in every Bundesliga fixture so far.

Borussia Dortmund have maintained a flawless league record with nine points from three games, scoring five goals across their two recorded league fixtures and netting three away at Hoffenheim. In contrast, Stuttgart have lost two of their three Bundesliga matches and have conceded an average of 2.7 goals per game. Dortmund also won the most recent meeting between these clubs 2-0 in April 2026. Backing Dortmund to take at least a point covers multiple probable outcomes, while the high scoring rates of both attacks support an expectation of over 2.5 total goals.

Borussia Dortmund or Draw — 78% confidence

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring fixtures in recent weeks. Four of Borussia Dortmund's last five games have produced at least three total goals, driven by a potent attack that has struck ten times across their last three matches. Villarreal have also seen over 2.5 goals land in four of their last five outings, scoring two goals in four of those games while conceding eight across their last four matches. Additionally, their previous Champions League meeting produced four goals in a 4-0 Dortmund victory.

Borussia Dortmund hold positive form coming into this fixture, having secured three straight wins against 1899 Hoffenheim, HEBC, and Hamburger SV. Villarreal, by contrast, are winless in four straight matches, conceding three goals at home to Deportivo La Coruna and drawing 2-2 with Atletico Madrid and Racing Santander. Although Dortmund have several defensive players sidelined, including N. Schlotterbeck, R. Bensebaini, and E. Can, their home advantage and attacking rhythm provide a solid platform to take at least a point.

Borussia Dortmund have claimed victory in seven of the last ten head-to-head fixtures against 1899 Hoffenheim, including four wins from their last five trips to Sinsheim. Dortmund opened their Bundesliga campaign with a clean sheet in a 2-0 win, whereas Hoffenheim conceded three goals in their opening match. Backing Dortmund to avoid defeat accounts for their positive form while respecting early-season defensive absences.

Over 2.5 Goals — 84% confidence

Dortmund have demonstrated high-level attacking output across their recent fixtures, scoring at least twice in four of their last five matches against teams like Hamburger SV, AS Roma, and Arsenal. HEBC have conceded three goals against Niendorfer TSV and two against ETSV Hamburg in recent games. Given the gulf in class between the sides in this cup fixture, match goals are likely to surpass the 2.5 line.

No — 78% confidence

HEBC have failed to score in each of their last three home matches, suffering shutouts against Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (0-1), HT16 (0-1), and Niendorfer TSV (0-3). Dortmund have recently recorded shutouts against Hamburger SV and FC Tokyo. Even with injuries to defenders N. Schlotterbeck and R. Bensebaini, Dortmund possess sufficient control to limit HEBC's chances and keep a clean sheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

HEBC have failed to score in each of their last three home matches, suffering shutouts against Vorwärts-Wacker 04 (0-1), HT16 (0-1), and Niendorfer TSV (0-3). Dortmund have recently recorded shutouts against Hamburger SV and FC Tokyo. Even with injuries to defenders N. Schlotterbeck and R. Bensebaini, Dortmund possess sufficient control to limit HEBC's chances and keep a clean sheet.

Dortmund have demonstrated high-level attacking output across their recent fixtures, scoring at least twice in four of their last five matches against teams like Hamburger SV, AS Roma, and Arsenal. HEBC have conceded three goals against Niendorfer TSV and two against ETSV Hamburg in recent games. Given the gulf in class between the sides in this cup fixture, match goals are likely to surpass the 2.5 line.

Double Chance (Borussia Dortmund or Draw) covers the most probable match outcomes. Dortmund have won four of the last five home meetings against Hamburger SV, including a 3-2 win in March 2026. While Hamburger SV come in with solid recent performances, Dortmund's historical home record in this fixture strongly supports their probability of avoiding defeat.