17:00

Mon 26 Oct

Grobiņa vs Riga prediction

Follow Grobiņa Follow Riga Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 34
Venue: Grobina Stadium, Grobina

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Grobiņa

47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Riga

72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Round 34 of the Latvian Virsliga brings second-placed Riga to Grobiņa, who currently occupy eighth place in the standings. Riga remain in pursuit of top spot with 79 points from 33 matches, built upon an exceptional attack that has registered 90 goals across the campaign.

Grobiņa sit on 29 points having won six of their 33 league fixtures, conceding 56 times along the way. While they earned a 3-2 victory over Ogre United in their last home outing, facing the division's most prolific frontline represents a substantial step up in opposition.

Recent meetings between these sides reflect Riga's superiority in the matchup. Riga have won nine of the last ten head-to-head fixtures, including two victories by three or more goals during the 2026 campaign.

Analysis

Key factors

Riga have scored 90 goals in 33 Virsliga matches, averaging 2.6 goals per game on their travels.
Grobiņa have conceded 56 league goals this season, maintaining an overall concession rate of 1.7 per match.
The last ten head-to-head encounters between Grobiņa and Riga have produced an average of 3.3 goals per game.
Two of the three league meetings between these clubs in 2026 produced over 2.5 goals, ending in 3-0 and 4-0 wins for Riga.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Grobiņa at homeRiga away

Played

4-6-6

W-D-L

11-3-2

0.9

Scored /game

2.6

1.3

Conceded /game

31%

Clean sheets

44%

50%

Failed to score

60%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus Riga away).

Players

Key players this season

Grobiņa

M. Corryn3A

Riga

Paulo3G · 1A
M. Badamosi2G
S. Oulad M'Hand1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	33	+57	83
2	Riga	33	+59	79
3	Auda	33	+19	64
4	FK Liepaja	34	0	47
5	BFC Daugavpils	33	+2	45
6	Super Nova	33	-15	38
7	FS Jelgava	33	-22	32
8	Grobiņa	33	-31	29
9	Tukums	34	-21	25
10	Ogre United	33	-48	18

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Grobiņa: 1
Draws: 9
Riga

Riga have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game.

2026-08-02Riga4-0Grobiņa
2026-05-29Riga2-0Grobiņa
2026-04-18Grobiņa0-3Riga
2025-11-02Grobiņa1-1Riga
2025-08-10Riga2-0Grobiņa

BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

Goals

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Goals

74%

Confidence

Riga have generated immense attacking output throughout the season, scoring 90 goals in 33 league games and averaging 2.6 goals per match away from home. Grobiņa have struggled defensively, conceding 56 goals across 33 rounds at an average of 1.7 per contest. Across the past ten head-to-head meetings, fixtures have averaged 3.3 goals, with two of the three clashes in 2026 ending 3-0 and 4-0 in Riga's favor. With Riga capable of clearing the goal threshold almost single-handedly against a vulnerable back line, the evidence materially supports reaching at least three goals rather than settling on the lower line.

Explore

Grobiņa vs Riga prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Grobiņa

Riga

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Virsliga

1 published market

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