FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja have established a reliable record on home soil, winning eight and drawing two of their 13 league matches while averaging two goals scored per home fixture. BFC Daugavpils have struggled for away victories all season, managing just two wins in 14 road games and conceding 22 goals in that stretch. In addition, Liepaja have avoided defeat in all four recorded home head-to-head matches against Daugavpils, making the home side avoiding defeat the most supported outcome.

FK Liepaja to win — 73% confidence

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Riga possess an overwhelming statistical advantage across the campaign, boasting 20 victories in 26 matches and an average of 3.0 goals scored per away game. They have claimed victory in nine of the previous ten head-to-head meetings against Liepaja, outscoring them heavily in the majority of those fixtures. Although Liepaja have respectable numbers at home, the gap in quality and attacking output between the title challengers and mid-table Liepaja points strongly toward an away win.

Auda have established strong authority in this matchup in 2026, winning all three encounters (1-0, 3-1, and 2-1). Additionally, Auda have lost only four of 12 home league matches this season, while FK Liepaja have dropped eight of their 14 away fixtures with an away defensive concession rate of 1.9 goals per game.