BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Sincil Bank, Lincoln
Referee
Thomas Parsons
Form

Recent form

Lincoln
27Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -9 goal difference

Burnley
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lincoln welcome Burnley to Sincil Bank with both teams eager to arrest disappointing runs in the Championship. The hosts sit 18th in the table with 12 points, yet they have endured severe problems on their own ground, having failed to win any of their five home league matches while shipping 12 goals in that stretch. Recent outings continue to show defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by a 6-0 loss against West Ham and a 2-2 draw at Millwall.

Burnley occupy 22nd position in the relegation zone with eight points from 11 matches, hampered by a substantial injury list that sidelines figures across the pitch. Despite their lowly position and managing just one league victory, the Clarets have been remarkably consistent in the attacking third, having scored in all 11 of their Championship matches. However, keeping opponents out has been an uphill struggle, as shown by their solitary clean sheet and an away concession rate of 2.2 goals per game.

With Lincoln struggling defensively at home and missing suspended pair D. Elerewe and F. Draper alongside injured defender T. Darikwa, Burnley should find opportunities to extend their scoring run. Conversely, Burnley's heavily depleted backline suggests Lincoln will also get chances to threaten, pointing toward an open contest with goals.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Burnley have scored in all 11 Championship fixtures this season, failing to score zero times.
  2. Lincoln have conceded 12 goals in five home league games, averaging 2.4 goals against per match at home.
  3. Four of Lincoln's last five matches and four of Burnley's last five fixtures have produced three or more total goals.
  4. Burnley have kept only one clean sheet in 11 league matches and concede an average of 2.2 goals per away game.
  5. Both sides face defensive disruption, with Lincoln missing suspended duo D. Elerewe and F. Draper, while Burnley have defenders sidelined including A. Ahmedhodzic and J. Beyer.
Availability

Team news

Lincoln

  • T. DarikwaKnee Injury
  • M. MeliaThigh Injury
  • F. DraperYellow Cards

Burnley

  • A. AhmedhodzicKnock
  • A. BarnesMuscle Injury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
  • H. MejbriHamstring Injury
  • A. RamseyHamstring Injury
  • Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
  • J. BanelMuscle Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • M. ObafemiInactive
  • S. SamboInactive
  • M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lincoln at homeBurnley away
5
Played
5
0-2-3
W-D-L
1-1-3
0.6
Scored /game
1.6
2.4
Conceded /game
2.2
20%
Clean sheets
20%
40%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Lincoln at home plus Burnley away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

1
Lincoln
0
Draws
0
Burnley

Lincoln have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2017-02-18Burnley0-1Lincoln
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Statistical trends for both clubs point toward a high-scoring encounter. Burnley's matches have averaged 3.36 goals overall, with their five away trips generating 19 total goals at an average of 3.8 per fixture. They have found the net in all 11 league matches this campaign while recording just one clean sheet. Lincoln have found it difficult to contain opponents on home soil, conceding 2.4 goals per match at home and entering off games featuring a 6-0 defeat to West Ham and a 2-2 draw with Millwall. With defensive absences affecting both squads, conditions favor over 2.5 total goals.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.