Burnley

Statistical trends for both clubs point toward a high-scoring encounter. Burnley's matches have averaged 3.36 goals overall, with their five away trips generating 19 total goals at an average of 3.8 per fixture. They have found the net in all 11 league matches this campaign while recording just one clean sheet. Lincoln have found it difficult to contain opponents on home soil, conceding 2.4 goals per match at home and entering off games featuring a 6-0 defeat to West Ham and a 2-2 draw with Millwall. With defensive absences affecting both squads, conditions favor over 2.5 total goals.

Wolves are the clear statistical favorite, occupying a top‑ten spot with a positive goal difference, while Burnley sit near the relegation zone with a poor home record. Burnley’s numerous injuries limit their attacking options, and Wolves have a solid away performance. The head‑to‑head record is balanced but generally low‑scoring, supporting a safe bet that Wolves will avoid defeat.

Burnley have avoided defeat in three of their four home league fixtures this season, drawing three times, and come into the match with momentum after a 4-0 win at Watford. They have also scored in every single league match this season. In contrast, Charlton are winless in six Championship matches and have conceded nine goals across four away fixtures without recording a clean sheet on their travels. While Burnley contend with multiple squad absences, Charlton's recent attacking struggles, failing to score in three matches and averaging only 0.9 goals per game, mean Burnley are well positioned to take something from the encounter.

Watford have collected seven of their eight points at home, posting two wins, one draw, and one defeat with six goals scored. Burnley enter this encounter without a win in eight league fixtures, holding four draws and four losses, and have struggled defensively on their travels where they have conceded 11 goals in four games. With Burnley missing ten players through injury and Watford yet to fail to score at home, the hosts hold a solid probability of securing at least a point. Neither side has registered a clean sheet this season, pointing toward an open contest with goals at both ends.

Burnley boast an extensive unbeaten record against Derby, remaining without a loss across the last ten head-to-head encounters with six wins and four draws. Derby have struggled for form in the Championship, losing five of their seven matches this season. While Burnley are still seeking their first league victory, their ability to find the net in every match gives them a solid foundation to secure at least a point on home soil.

Burnley have seen both teams score in 100 percent of their league matches this season, having scored in all six fixtures while conceding 13 goals at an average of 2.2 per game. Derby have also shown defensive frailty by conceding 13 goals across seven matches, meaning chances should present themselves for both attacks throughout the ninety minutes.

Swansea enter this fixture unbeaten at home in league play, having posted one win and two draws without conceding a single goal across their three home matches. Burnley have struggled for form, remaining winless through six league rounds with three draws and three defeats, alongside an average of 2.7 goals conceded per away match. Backing Swansea to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of the home side continuing their resilient defensive displays against a visiting side that has yet to win on the road.

Wrexham or Draw — 76% confidence

Wrexham have been competitive throughout their early schedule, losing only one of their last five matches and boasting a positive goal difference. In contrast, Burnley enter this fixture winless in the league, sitting 24th with two draws and three defeats. Burnley have lost both of their away league fixtures, conceding 3.5 goals per match on the road, giving the hosts a significant platform to earn at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Burnley's league fixtures have averaged 3.6 total goals per game, driven by a leaky defence that has conceded 12 times in five matches without keeping a clean sheet. Their two away league outings saw four and five goals scored. With Wrexham averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, the conditions favor a high-scoring encounter exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Burnley's league fixtures have averaged 3.6 total goals per game, driven by a leaky defence that has conceded 12 times in five matches without keeping a clean sheet. Their two away league outings saw four and five goals scored. With Wrexham averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, the conditions favor a high-scoring encounter exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

Wrexham have been competitive throughout their early schedule, losing only one of their last five matches and boasting a positive goal difference. In contrast, Burnley enter this fixture winless in the league, sitting 24th with two draws and three defeats. Burnley have lost both of their away league fixtures, conceding 3.5 goals per match on the road, giving the hosts a significant platform to earn at least a point.

Both teams have demonstrated consistent attacking output alongside persistent defensive vulnerabilities this season. Burnley have scored four goals in their league campaign with a home average of two goals per game, but have conceded nine goals overall and have kept zero clean sheets. Bristol City have also recorded zero clean sheets across their four league matches, conceding 1.5 goals per game while generating an average of 2.5 goals per match on their travels. With both sides consistently finding the net and neither demonstrating defensive solidity, both teams scoring presents the most reliable expectation.

Middlesbrough have enjoyed a productive start to the season with two wins from three Championship matches, scoring six goals and averaging two goals per game. In contrast, Burnley have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals across three fixtures for an average of three goals against per match.

Burnley's difficulties are compounded by multiple squad absences, including J. Laurent serving a suspension and fitness issues for players such as J. Beyer and J. Cullen. Given Middlesbrough's attacking output and Burnley's defensive struggles, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

Burnley hold a substantial historical edge in this matchup, winning six of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including each of the last four fixtures between the two sides. Norwich have had a difficult start to the Championship campaign, suffering two defeats from two matches while conceding five goals and scoring only once. Backing Burnley in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage across both an away victory and a shared result.

Bradford are in solid form with four wins and a draw in their last five fixtures, keeping clean sheets in each of their last three games. Burnley are winless in their last five games and enter the cup tie missing several players through injury, making Bradford or Draw a well-supported selection.

West Brom carry strong momentum following a 2-1 opening-round victory at Norwich and five straight wins across their recent outings. Burnley enter winless in five matches and face multiple injury absences, though their tendency to secure draws in this fixture makes the double chance a well-supported selection.