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Premier LeaguePremier League
15:00
Sun 25 Oct

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
Referee
Samuel Barrott

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Liverpool
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Brighton
85Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +14 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Liverpool welcome Brighton to Anfield in a high-stakes Premier League clash between two sides separated by four points near the summit of the table. Liverpool sit fifth with 12 points, looking to overcome an uneven start at home in domestic action where they have recorded two draws and one defeat. However, recent high-scoring victories across all competitions demonstrate that their attacking output remains potent behind five league goals from Alexander Isak.

Brighton enter the fixture in third position with 16 points and an imposing goal difference of plus 18. Having scored 23 goals in seven league fixtures, averaging 3.3 goals per game, the visitors have found the net in every Premier League outing this season. Even with multiple injury absences across their squad, Brighton's attacking fluidity remains one of the division's sharpest.

Head-to-head history heavily points towards an entertaining encounter. Nine of the previous ten meetings between these clubs have produced three or more goals, with an overall average of 3.4 goals per match. While Liverpool have won all four recent Anfield meetings against Brighton, the visitors' prolific scoring form makes this matchup difficult to call on the outright winner market.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nine of the previous ten head-to-head fixtures between these teams have seen three or more goals scored, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
  2. Brighton have scored in all seven Premier League fixtures this season, averaging 3.3 goals scored per match.
  3. Liverpool have conceded five goals across their three home Premier League fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals against at Anfield.
  4. Both teams have scored in seven of their last ten encounters across all competitions.
  5. Liverpool have won their last four home games against Brighton in all competitions, scoring at least twice in each victory.
Availability

Team news

Liverpool

  • C. BradleyKnee Injury
  • H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • J. FrimpongMuscle Injury
  • G. LeoniKnee Injury
  • A. NalloLeg Injury
  • D. SzoboszlaiMuscle Injury
  • V. MunozKnee Injury

Brighton

  • F. AzeezAbdominal strain
  • E. FergusonAnkle Injury
  • Y. MintehInjury
  • K. MitomaHamstring Injury
  • S. TzimasKnee Injury
  • M. WiefferKnee Injury
  • Z. YohannaInjury
  • P. StruijkRest
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Liverpool at homeBrighton away
3
Played
3
0-2-1
W-D-L
2-0-1
0.7
Scored /game
3.3
1.7
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (Liverpool at home plus Brighton away).

Players

Key players this season

Liverpool

  • A. Isak5G
  • C. Gakpo3A

Brighton

  • C. Kostoulas3G
  • P. Groß4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+1221
2ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+618
3BrightonPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+1816
4ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+413
5LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase)7+112
6Brentford7+510
7Leeds7+310
8Everton7+110
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Liverpool
1
Draws
4
Brighton

Liverpool have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-21Brighton2-1Liverpool
  • 2026-02-14Liverpool3-0Brighton
  • 2025-12-13Liverpool2-0Brighton
  • 2025-05-19Brighton3-2Liverpool
  • 2024-11-02Liverpool2-1Brighton
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

67%78 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Nine of the last ten meetings between Liverpool and Brighton have produced over 2.5 goals, with the series averaging 3.4 goals per match. Brighton have been exceptionally prolific in the league, scoring 23 times in seven games, including 10 goals in three away matches. Liverpool have shown defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding five goals in three league fixtures while participating in open, high-scoring contests such as their recent 4-3 win over Villarreal.

Combo Bet
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
Confidence

Both teams have scored in 70 percent of the last ten meetings between the sides. Brighton have yet to be shut out in the league this season, scoring in all seven matches. Liverpool have kept only one clean sheet in three league home games and conceded 1.7 goals per home match, but their attack remains capable of finding the net through Isak and Cody Gakpo against a Brighton side that has conceded four goals in three away league matches.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + BTTS Yes
72%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Nine of the last ten meetings between Liverpool and Brighton have produced over 2.5 goals, with the series averaging 3.4 goals per match. Brighton have been exceptionally prolific in the league, scoring 23 times in seven games, including 10 goals in three away matches. Liverpool have shown defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding five goals in three league fixtures while participating in open, high-scoring contests such as their recent 4-3 win over Villarreal.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have scored in 70 percent of the last ten meetings between the sides. Brighton have yet to be shut out in the league this season, scoring in all seven matches. Liverpool have kept only one clean sheet in three league home games and conceded 1.7 goals per home match, but their attack remains capable of finding the net through Isak and Cody Gakpo against a Brighton side that has conceded four goals in three away league matches.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.