BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 8
Venue
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães
Referee
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Form

Recent form

Moreirense
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

GIL Vicente
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Moreirense or Draw

BetGenius backs Moreirense or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Moreirense welcome Gil Vicente to Parque Moreira de Conegos for round eight of the Primeira Liga, with both clubs level on eight points in the middle of the table. Moreirense sit in 12th place having taken two wins, two draws, and three defeats from their opening seven fixtures, while Gil Vicente occupy ninth place with two wins, two draws, and two losses from six matches.

Moreirense have shown attacking spark on home turf, scoring five goals in three games despite a heavy setback against Benfica. Their recent sequence includes a solid 3-1 home victory over Maritimo and a 1-1 draw away to Vitoria SC, showing resilience against mid-table rivals.

Gil Vicente arrive on a four-match winless run, having picked up two draws and two defeats in that span. Their away form has been limited so far, yielding a 0-0 draw at Famalicao and a 3-1 defeat at Benfica, resulting in an average of only 0.5 goals scored per match on their travels.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Both teams sit level on eight points in the Primeira Liga standings.
  2. Gil Vicente are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
  3. Gil Vicente have scored only one goal in two away league games this season.
  4. Moreirense have scored in four of their last five matches.
  5. The two sides have shared three draws across their last ten head-to-head encounters, including a 2-2 draw in July 2026.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Moreirense at homeGIL Vicente away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
2-1-1
1.3
Scored /game
1
2
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Moreirense at home plus GIL Vicente away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3Sporting CPPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)8+1118
4Santa ClaraPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)8+818
5AroucaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)8+414
6GIL Vicente8+214
7Academico Viseu8+114
8Alverca8+111
9SC Braga8-111
10Estrela8-110
11Vitória SC908
12Moreirense8-78
13Maritimo9-108
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
History

Head-to-head

3
Moreirense
2
Draws
5
GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-09Moreirense0-1GIL Vicente
  • 2026-07-25GIL Vicente2-2Moreirense
  • 2026-02-07Moreirense1-2GIL Vicente
  • 2025-08-29GIL Vicente2-0Moreirense
  • 2025-04-06GIL Vicente0-1Moreirense
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%49 won from 71 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Moreirense or Draw
72%
Confidence

Moreirense have collected four points from their last two league outings, scoring four goals across those fixtures. Gil Vicente enter this encounter without a win in their last four matches in all competitions and remain winless on the road in the league with one draw and one loss, averaging just 0.5 goals scored away from home.

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Published October 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.