BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Referee
Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Form

Recent form

Nacional
7Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -10 goal difference

Famalicao
37Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Famalicao or Draw

BetGenius backs Famalicao or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Nacional welcome Famalicao to Madeira in a Primeira Liga encounter between two sides tied on four points near the bottom of the table. Nacional enter the contest on a four-match losing streak, having conceded eight goals across their last five matches, including a 3-1 home defeat to Alverca.

Famalicao are still searching for their first league victory of the campaign but have proved difficult to beat in recent weeks. They have put together three consecutive draws, highlighted by a 1-1 result against Sporting CP and a 2-2 draw away at Estrela.

Recent head-to-head meetings also favour the visitors, with Famalicao winning each of the last two encounters between these sides by a 1-0 margin. Given the current momentum of both teams, Famalicao appear well placed to take something from this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nacional have lost four consecutive matches in all competitions.
  2. Famalicao are undefeated in their last three games, recording three straight draws.
  3. Famalicao won the last two head-to-head meetings against Nacional, both by 1-0 scorelines.
  4. Both teams sit level on four points in 13th and 15th position in the Primeira Liga standings.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nacional at homeFamalicao away
4
Played
4
1-0-3
W-D-L
1-2-1
1.3
Scored /game
1.8
2.5
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Nacional at home plus Famalicao away).

Players

Key players this season

Famalicao

  • G. Koutsias5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
11Vitória SC908
12Moreirense8-78
13Maritimo9-108
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
16NacionalLiga Portugal (Relegation)8-94
17Casa PiaRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-144
18EstorilRelegation - Liga Portugal 28-82
History

Head-to-head

3
Nacional
1
Draws
5
Famalicao

Famalicao have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-19Nacional0-4Famalicao
  • 2026-03-21Famalicao1-0Nacional
  • 2025-11-01Nacional0-1Famalicao
  • 2025-03-01Nacional2-1Famalicao
  • 2024-09-29Famalicao0-0Nacional
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

69%50 won from 72 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Famalicao or Draw
72%
Confidence

Nacional have lost four matches in a row, conceding eight goals across their five games this season. Famalicao, while winless, have shown defensive stability by remaining unbeaten across their last three matches, including a 1-1 draw against Sporting CP. Additionally, Famalicao won both of the last two meetings between these clubs by 1-0 scorelines, indicating they match up well against Nacional.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.