BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
St James' Park, Newcastle
Referee
Stuart Attwell, England
Form

Recent form

Newcastle
32Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -5 goal difference

Liverpool
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Liverpool or Draw

BetGenius backs Liverpool or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Newcastle host Liverpool in Premier League action, with both sides looking to find momentum in the early phase of the campaign. Newcastle enter this clash having won just one of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 1-1 draw against Strasbourg, a 1-2 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, and a 1-3 loss to Everton. Defensive absences could pose challenges for the hosts, who are missing Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley due to injuries.

Liverpool travel north after a mixed recent run featuring two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings—most recently drawing 0-0 with Como following a 2-3 defeat to Monaco and a 2-4 loss against Leeds. The visitors are also navigating squad absences, with C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni sidelined with injury concerns.

Historically, this fixture has heavily favoured Liverpool. Across the last 10 meetings between the two teams, Liverpool have secured 8 victories, with 1 draw and just 1 win for Newcastle. Furthermore, goals are typically frequent in this matchup, with past encounters averaging 3.6 goals per game and 70% exceeding the 2.5 goal mark.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Liverpool have won 8 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters against Newcastle, with only 1 defeat.
  2. Newcastle have won only 1 of their last 5 fixtures (2-1 vs Valencia, 1-1 vs Strasbourg, 1-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen, 1-3 vs Everton, 1-4 vs Bristol City).
  3. Head-to-head fixtures have been high scoring, averaging 3.6 goals per game with 70% producing Over 2.5 goals.
  4. Newcastle are dealing with injuries to Joelinton, D. Burn, V. Livramento, and L. Miley.
  5. Liverpool are missing C. Bradley, H. Ekitike, J. Gomez, and G. Leoni through injury.
Availability

Team news

Newcastle

  • E. JaouenMuscle Injury
  • V. LivramentoKnee Injury
  • A. ElangaKnee Injury
  • J. RamseyThigh Injury

Liverpool

  • C. BradleyKnee Injury
  • H. EkitikeAchilles Tendon Injury
  • J. FrimpongMuscle Injury
  • G. LeoniKnee Injury
  • A. NalloLeg Injury
  • D. SzoboszlaiMuscle Injury
  • V. MunozKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Newcastle at homeLiverpool away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
3-1-0
1.5
Scored /game
1.8
1.5
Conceded /game
0.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Newcastle at home plus Liverpool away).

Players

Key players this season

Liverpool

  • A. Isak5G
  • C. Gakpo3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+618
3BrightonPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+1816
4ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase)7+413
5LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase)7+112
6Brentford7+510
7Leeds7+310
8Everton7+110
9Ipswich8-410
10Hull City7+19
11Newcastle7-48
12Aston Villa7-48
13Manchester United707
14Crystal Palace7-87
History

Head-to-head

1
Newcastle
2
Draws
7
Liverpool

Liverpool have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-08-23Newcastle2-2Liverpool
  • 2026-01-31Liverpool4-1Newcastle
  • 2025-08-25Newcastle2-3Liverpool
  • 2025-03-16Liverpool1-2Newcastle
  • 2025-02-26Liverpool2-0Newcastle
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

66%79 won from 119 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Liverpool or Draw
75%
Confidence

Liverpool have dominated head-to-head meetings, winning 8 of the last 10 fixtures against Newcastle, while remaining unbeaten in their last 5 trips to Newcastle (4 wins, 1 draw). Combined with Newcastle's recent form of just 1 win in their last 5 matches, Liverpool have a strong probability of securing at least a point.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.