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Sat 29 Aug · 15:00

Norwich vs Burnley prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 3
Venue: Carrow Road, Norwich
Referee: Elliot Bell, England

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Norwich

9Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -9 goal difference

Burnley

43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw

BetGenius backs Burnley or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Norwich City host Burnley at Carrow Road in Round 3 of the Championship season, with both sides seeking their first league victory of the campaign. Norwich find themselves in 23rd place after opening their season with back-to-back defeats—falling 1-2 at home to West Bromwich Albion and 0-3 away to Millwall—leaving them with zero points and five goals conceded in two outings.

Burnley enter the fixture in 18th position with one point from their opening two matches, having drawn 2-2 with West Ham before suffering a 1-3 defeat on the road against West Brom. Scott Parker's side will look to build on a dominant recent head-to-head record against Norwich, having won the last four consecutive encounters between the two clubs across all competitions.

With both defensive units conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match in the early stages of the league season and both sides managing significant injury lists, this matchup presents an opportunity for Burnley to extend their positive head-to-head run against a struggling Canaries side.

Analysis

Key factors

Burnley have won the last four consecutive head-to-head meetings against Norwich across all competitions.
Norwich have started the Championship season with two straight losses, conceding five goals across 180 minutes.
Both teams have conceded an average of 2.50 goals per game in league play this season.
Across nine recorded head-to-head fixtures, Burnley have claimed six victories compared to Norwich's two.
Norwich are dealing with multiple confirmed absences, including A. Ahmed, A. Crnac, L. Gibbs, L. Mahovo, and J. Makama.

Availability

Team news

Norwich

A. AhmedKnee Injury
P. A. DialloInjury
K. McLeanInjury
M. ToureShoulder Injury
V. KovacevicConcussion

A. CrnacRest

Burnley

A. AhmedhodzicKnock
A. BarnesMuscle Injury
J. BeyerHamstring Injury
B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
H. MejbriHamstring Injury
A. RamseyHamstring Injury
Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
J. BanelMuscle Injury
J. CullenKnee Injury

M. ObafemiInactive
S. SamboInactive
M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Norwich at homeBurnley away

Played

2-0-4

W-D-L

1-1-3

1.7

Scored /game

1.6

1.7

Conceded /game

2.2

Clean sheets

20%

33%

Failed to score

40%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Norwich at home plus Burnley away).

Players

Key players this season

Norwich

M. Touré5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
18	Lincoln	11	-10	12
19	Cardiff	11	+1	11
20	Watford	11	-9	11
21	Norwich	11	-4	9
22	BurnleyRelegation - League One	11	-5	8
23	DerbyRelegation - League One	11	-11	6
24	PrestonRelegation - League One	11	-15	4

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Norwich: 1
Draws: 6
Burnley

Burnley have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

2026-08-29Norwich4-1Burnley
2025-04-11Burnley2-1Norwich
2024-12-15Norwich1-2Burnley
2023-02-04Norwich0-3Burnley
2022-10-25Burnley1-0Norwich

BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw

74%

Confidence

Burnley hold a substantial historical edge in this matchup, winning six of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including each of the last four fixtures between the two sides. Norwich have had a difficult start to the Championship campaign, suffering two defeats from two matches while conceding five goals and scoring only once. Backing Burnley in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage across both an away victory and a shared result.

Explore

Norwich vs Burnley prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Norwich

Burnley

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Norwich

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Championship

1 published market

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