BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Referee
Sam Allison, England
Form

Recent form

Portsmouth
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Derby
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Portsmouth or Draw

BetGenius backs BTTS Yes + Portsmouth or Draw (Combo Bet) at 66% confidence — a solid call.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Portsmouth welcome Derby to Fratton Park for round four of the Championship campaign, with both sides seeking greater stability after mixed starts to the season. Portsmouth sit 15th in the standings with three points from their opening three fixtures, having secured a 3-1 away victory over Lincoln alongside defeats to QPR and Bristol City.

Derby occupy 21st place with a single point from three league outings, having drawn 2-2 with Cardiff while suffering defeats against Charlton and Swansea. Defensive vulnerabilities have been evident for the visitors, who have conceded seven goals across their three matches and remain without a clean sheet.

Recent meetings between these clubs have frequently ended level, with six draws in their last ten encounters across all competitions. Portsmouth must contend with a lengthy injury list that includes eight first-team players, which could level the playing field despite Derby's early-season struggles.

Availability

Team news

Portsmouth

  • B. ArthurBack Injury
  • L. Brooke-SmithAnkle Injury
  • M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
  • J. MurphyGroin Injury
  • C. OgilvieKnee Injury
  • F. UmehHamstring Injury
  • K. AndersonOverload
  • C. ShaughnessyInjury
  • C. BishopInactive
  • J. SwiftInactive

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythKnee Injury
  • S. LangasInjury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • C. TaylorInjury
  • J. Widell ZetterstromKnee Injury
  • E. CashinInactive
  • M. JohnstonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Portsmouth at homeDerby away
5
Played
5
2-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.6
Scored /game
1
1.8
Conceded /game
2
20%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
Failed to score
20%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Portsmouth at home plus Derby away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
10Blackburn11+115
11Sheffield Utd11+115
12Millwall11015
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
15Bolton11-314
16Bristol City11-314
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

1
Portsmouth
6
Draws
3
Derby

Derby have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-16Portsmouth0-1Derby
  • 2025-12-20Derby1-1Portsmouth
  • 2025-04-12Portsmouth2-2Derby
  • 2024-12-13Derby4-0Portsmouth
  • 2024-04-02Portsmouth2-2Derby
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%137 won from 216 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Portsmouth or Draw
66%
Both must land · no better than

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Portsmouth or Draw — 66% confidence

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Portsmouth or Draw
66%
Confidence

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
Confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

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Published August 30, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.