Portsmouth

Portsmouth have built momentum with a three-match unbeaten run, including a 3-2 home win over Sheffield United and a 1-0 away victory at Norwich. In addition, Portsmouth took maximum points from the two most recent encounters between these sides, winning both by a 3-1 scoreline. While Millwall consistently score away from home, their defense has conceded 10 goals in five away trips, providing Portsmouth with a strong probability of avoiding defeat.

Wolves enjoy a home advantage and a higher league position, while Portsmouth are coping with a significant injury list. Wolves’ home goal average (2.0) exceeds Portsmouth’s away average (1.0) and the visitors concede only 0.8 goals per away game, suggesting the home side is likely to avoid defeat. The combined scoring rates point to a match with more than 2.5 goals, supporting an OVER 2.5 call.

Norwich have lost five matches in a row across all competitions and have conceded 20 goals in 10 league games without registering a single clean sheet. Their attacking threat is notably compromised by the absence of top scorer M. Toure, who has five goals this term. Portsmouth have lost just once in their past five games, hold an unbeaten record across their last three visits to Carrow Road, and have conceded only four goals in four away fixtures this campaign.

Sheffield United have the statistical edge – higher league position, better recent form and a dominant head‑to‑head record (4 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw). Portsmouth’s injury list removes several defensive options, reducing their chance of securing a win. However, Portsmouth’s home record includes a recent clean sheet and the teams’ combined goal average sits around 2.4, making an under‑2.5 goal total plausible. The double‑chance on Sheffield (away or draw) captures the likely advantage while protecting against a possible home point.

Southampton have been formidable at St Mary's this term, winning all four of their home matches while averaging 3.8 goals per game. They have scored in every single league match this season. In contrast, Portsmouth are dealing with eight confirmed absentees due to injury, significantly limiting their rotation options. However, four consecutive league meetings between these rivals have ended in draws, including 1-1 and 0-0 scorelines across the 2025 and 2026 fixtures. Covering the draw alongside the home victory accounts for the historical competitiveness of this derby while reflecting Southampton's decisive advantage in home form and squad availability.

Portsmouth have won each of the last two meetings between these clubs at Fratton Park, securing 2-1 and 1-0 victories in Championship competition. Blackburn are winless in their last five matches overall and have yet to win away from home in the league this season, recording two draws and one defeat. Backing Portsmouth to either win or take a point provides strong value given Blackburn's recent run of four defeats in five outings.

Charlton have established a reliable platform at home this season, collecting seven points from a possible nine while conceding only one goal in three matches at The Valley. Portsmouth have lost three of their five league fixtures so far and have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game. Backing Charlton on the double chance covers both the home victory and the draw, which reflects Charlton's strong home record alongside their recent tendency toward lower-scoring, tight contests.

Cardiff have avoided defeat in three of their four league games this season and have scored in every fixture. Portsmouth have suffered consecutive home defeats, conceding five goals across those two matches while missing several players through injury. Backing Cardiff to either win or draw covers the most probable outcomes given Portsmouth's early defensive difficulties.

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Portsmouth or Draw — 66% confidence

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Bristol City hold an unbeaten home record against Portsmouth across five meetings (three wins and two draws) and won the last three head-to-head encounters without conceding. While Bristol City are looking for their first league victory of the campaign, Portsmouth are heavily depleted with eight players unavailable due to injury or illness. Backing Bristol City in the double chance market provides solid coverage against potential variance.