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Sat 17 Oct · 14:30

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Follow Union Berlin Follow Borussia Dortmund Follow this match

Round: Regular Season - 6
Venue: An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Union Berlin

54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -7 goal difference

Borussia Dortmund

58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

BetGenius backs Borussia Dortmund or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

78%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund travel to the Stadion An der Alten Försterei sitting second in the Bundesliga table with 13 points from their opening five league fixtures. The visitors remain unbeaten in domestic league play, having recorded four victories and a draw while scoring 11 goals and conceding only four.

Union Berlin find themselves in 16th place in the relegation play-off position after picking up four points from their first five matches. While they secured a 1-0 home win over SV Elversberg in their most recent outing, their defensive vulnerability has been evident across the campaign, with 17 goals conceded already in league action.

Head-to-head records strongly favour the visiting side. Dortmund have won eight of the last 10 competitive encounters between these clubs, including each of the last three by a combined scoreline of 12-0.

Analysis

Key factors

Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in the Bundesliga with four wins and one draw from five matches.
Union Berlin sit 16th in the table having conceded 17 goals across five league games.
Dortmund have won eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, outscoring Union Berlin 12-0 in the last three.
Matches between these teams average 3.7 goals historically, with 80 percent exceeding 2.5 goals.
Union Berlin are missing defensive options including J. Juranovic and S. Nsoki through injury.

Availability

Team news

Union Berlin

A. MarkgrafKnee Injury
S. NsokiMuscle Injury
K. ImeriInjury
J. JuranovicAchilles Tendon Injury

A. IlicIllness

Borussia Dortmund

E. CanKnee Injury
K. KaretsasAnkle Injury
G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
J. LermaMuscle Injury

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Union Berlin at homeBorussia Dortmund away

Played

1-2-1

W-D-L

2-1-0

1.3

Scored /game

1.3

1.5

Conceded /game

0.7

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

20%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Union Berlin at home plus Borussia Dortmund away).

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage	6	+17	14
2	Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage	6	+7	14
3	SC FreiburgChampions League league stage	6	+9	13
4	Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage	6	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage	6	+4	10
14	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs	6	-4	5
17	Union BerlinRelegation	6	-12	5
18	Borussia MönchengladbachRelegation	7	-11	3

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

2
Union Berlin: 0
Draws: 8
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

2026-01-24Union Berlin0-3Borussia Dortmund
2025-08-31Borussia Dortmund3-0Union Berlin
2025-02-22Borussia Dortmund6-0Union Berlin
2024-10-05Union Berlin2-1Borussia Dortmund
2024-03-02Union Berlin0-2Borussia Dortmund

BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%57 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

78%

Confidence

Borussia Dortmund enter this contest in dominant league form, having won four of their five Bundesliga fixtures without suffering defeat. Their defensive record is among the best in the division, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average, compared to Union Berlin who concede an average of 3.4 goals per match overall. Although Union Berlin have collected four points at home, Dortmund have claimed eight wins from the past 10 meetings between the two sides, making the away win or draw a solidly backed position.

Explore

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Union Berlin

Borussia Dortmund

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Bundesliga

1 published market

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