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Sat 19 Sept · 17:30

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 4
Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +9 goal difference

Borussia Dortmund

58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

BetGenius backs Borussia Dortmund or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund at the MHPArena in round four of the Bundesliga campaign, with the two sides experiencing contrasting starts to the season. Dortmund arrive sitting second in the standings after collecting nine points from their opening matches, showing sharp finishing and strong forward momentum led by Serhou Guirassy.

Stuttgart find themselves in fourteenth place with three points from their first three league outings. While they recorded an impressive 4-1 home victory against 1. FC Köln, defensive frailties have been evident in away defeats against Bayern München and 1899 Hoffenheim, leaving them with eight goals conceded so far.

Both squads carry notable injury lists, but Stuttgart are particularly stretched through midfield and defense with key players like Angelo Stiller and Dan-Axel Zagadou sidelined. Dortmund's firepower and positive early-season form give them the upper hand heading into this clash.

Analysis

Key factors

Borussia Dortmund hold second place in the table with a perfect nine points from their opening three league fixtures.
VfB Stuttgart have conceded eight goals across three league matches, averaging 2.7 goals against per game.
Dortmund striker Serhou Guirassy has contributed two goals and two assists in early action.
Stuttgart are missing several key regulars through injury, including Angelo Stiller and Dan-Axel Zagadou.
Head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.6 goals per game across their last ten meetings.

Availability

Team news

VfB Stuttgart

J. DiehlMuscle Injury
N. NarteyThigh Injury
T. TomasMuscle Injury
J. VagnomanMuscle Injury
D. ZagadouMuscle Injury

Borussia Dortmund

E. CanKnee Injury
K. KaretsasAnkle Injury
G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
J. LermaMuscle Injury

Numbers

Statistical comparison

VfB Stuttgart at homeBorussia Dortmund away

Played

1-0-1

W-D-L

2-1-0

—

Scored /game

1.3

—

Conceded /game

0.7

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

20%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bayern MünchenChampions League league stage	6	+17	14
2	Borussia DortmundChampions League league stage	6	+7	14
3	SC FreiburgChampions League league stage	6	+9	13
4	Bayer LeverkusenChampions League league stage	6	+7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage	6	+4	10
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	-3	7
13	1899 Hoffenheim	6	-3	6
14	VfB Stuttgart	7	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs	6	-4	5
17	Union BerlinRelegation	6	-12	5

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
VfB Stuttgart: 2
Draws: 3
Borussia Dortmund

VfB Stuttgart have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.6 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

2026-04-04VfB Stuttgart0-2Borussia Dortmund
2025-11-22Borussia Dortmund3-3VfB Stuttgart
2025-02-08Borussia Dortmund1-2VfB Stuttgart
2024-09-22VfB Stuttgart5-1Borussia Dortmund
2024-04-06Borussia Dortmund0-1VfB Stuttgart

BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

67%59 won from 88 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

75%

Confidence

Borussia Dortmund have maintained a flawless league record with nine points from three games, scoring five goals across their two recorded league fixtures and netting three away at Hoffenheim. In contrast, Stuttgart have lost two of their three Bundesliga matches and have conceded an average of 2.7 goals per game. Dortmund also won the most recent meeting between these clubs 2-0 in April 2026. Backing Dortmund to take at least a point covers multiple probable outcomes, while the high scoring rates of both attacks support an expectation of over 2.5 total goals.

Explore

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Bundesliga

1 published market

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