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Sat 17 Oct · 15:15
Villarreal vs Elche prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 9
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
- Referee
- Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Villarreal
47Average
Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference
Elche
53Average
Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Villarreal or Draw
BetGenius backs Villarreal or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview
Match preview
Villarreal welcome Elche looking to climb into the top half of La Liga. Sitting 11th with eight points from eight matches, the hosts enter this contest having picked up positive results in recent outings, highlighted by 3-1 victories over Napoli and Levante on home soil.
Elche occupy 18th place in the relegation zone with six points from their opening eight fixtures. While their sole league win of the season came on the road at Espanyol, they have struggled to turn competitive displays into three points, drawing three times and losing four of their matches.
With both sides showing consistent scoring output alongside defensive vulnerabilities, Villarreal's strong historical home record against Elche positions them favourably to take something from this encounter.
Analysis
Key factors
- Villarreal are unbeaten at home against Elche across five head-to-head meetings, winning four and drawing one.
- Elche have won only one of their eight league fixtures this season, placing them 18th in the table.
- Villarreal have scored in every home game this campaign, averaging 2.0 goals per home match.
- Both teams have defensive frailties, with Villarreal keeping zero clean sheets and Elche conceding 17 goals in eight games.
- Elche will be without suspended midfielder Federico Redondo Solari.
Availability
Team news
Villarreal
- N. PepeEye injury
- C. RomeroInjury
Elche
- M. AguadoAnkle Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Villarreal at homeElche away
4
Played
5
1-1-2
W-D-L
1-3-1
1.5
Scored /game
1.4
1.5
Conceded /game
1.2
—
Clean sheets
20%
—
Failed to score
20%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Villarreal at home plus Elche away).
Players
Key players this season
Villarreal
- Alberto Moleiro3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | ElcheRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | MalagaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 10 | -12 | 5 |
History
Head-to-head
- 5
- Villarreal
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Elche
Villarreal have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-10-17Villarreal0-0Elche
- 2026-03-08Villarreal2-1Elche
- 2026-01-03Elche1-3Villarreal
- 2023-02-04Elche3-1Villarreal
- 2022-09-04Villarreal4-0Elche
BetGenius
Our record in La Liga
73%91 won from 124 settled predictions (1 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
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FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Villarreal or Draw
78%
Confidence
Villarreal hold a strong historical home record in this fixture, having recorded four wins and one draw across five home meetings with Elche, including a 2-1 victory in their most recent encounter in March 2026. The hosts have scored in every home league game this season, averaging 2.0 goals per match on their own pitch. Elche have shown attacking capability on the road with seven goals scored across four away trips, but they have managed just one win from eight league games overall and enter this match without the suspended Federico Redondo Solari. Backing Villarreal on the double chance accounts for Elche's tendency to draw away matches while acknowledging the host's clear head-to-head superiority.
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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.