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Sat 17 Oct · 14:30

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Follow Werder BremenFollow SC Paderborn 07Follow this match
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
Weser-Stadion, Bremen
Referee
Robert Schröder, Germany

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Werder Bremen
46Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -6 goal difference

SC Paderborn 07
48Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Werder Bremen or Draw

BetGenius backs Werder Bremen or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Werder Bremen enter round six of the Bundesliga sitting seventh in the standings with eight points from their opening five fixtures. The hosts have maintained a perfect home record so far, winning both matches at the Weserstadion with an average of three goals scored per fixture. Their attack has been spearheaded by Niclas Fullkrug, who has found the net four times, alongside Marco Grull with four assists.

SC Paderborn 07 find themselves near the danger zone in 15th place with four points from five outings. Scoring has been a persistent issue for the visitors, who have failed to score in four of their five matches this season, including both of their away league fixtures. While Paderborn collected a 3-1 win over Hoffenheim, their away trip to Dortmund ended in a 3-0 defeat, highlighting their struggles to produce chances on the road.

Both teams carry notable injury lists into this clash, with Bremen missing ten players and Paderborn missing five. Despite Bremen's defensive vulnerability, having conceded in every league match so far, their attacking output at home gives them a clear advantage against an opponent yet to register a goal away from home in the league.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Werder Bremen have won both home league fixtures this season, scoring six goals across those two games.
  2. SC Paderborn 07 have failed to score in four of their five matches overall and have zero away goals in league play.
  3. Bremen forward N. Fullkrug has scored four goals while M. Grull has provided four assists in five appearances.
  4. Head-to-head encounters between these clubs average 4.0 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals landing in 77.8 percent of matches.
  5. Both squads contend with multiple absences, with Werder Bremen missing ten players through injury and Paderborn missing five.
Availability

Team news

Werder Bremen

  • F. AguCalf Injury
  • S. AlveroCalf Injury
  • S. MusahMuscle Injury
  • J. NjinmahThigh Injury
  • J. StageMuscle Injury
  • K. ToppKnee Injury
  • M. N'DiayeGroin Injury
  • N. StarkThigh Injury

SC Paderborn 07

  • N. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
  • O. Batista MeierAnkle Injury
  • T. GayretKnee Injury
  • M. HoffmeierMuscle Injury
  • S. KlaasMuscle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Werder Bremen at homeSC Paderborn 07 away
3
Played
3
2-1-0
W-D-L
0-2-1
2.7
Scored /game
0.7
1.7
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Werder Bremen at home plus SC Paderborn 07 away).

Players

Key players this season

Werder Bremen

  • N. Füllkrug6G
  • M. Grüll4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
5FSV Mainz 05Europa League league stage6+410
6SV ElversbergQualifying6+110
7RB Leipzig6+59
8Werder Bremen609
9Hamburger SV6-99
10FC Augsburg6+48
11Eintracht Frankfurt6-68
131899 Hoffenheim6-36
14VfB Stuttgart7-36
15FC Schalke 046-35
16SC Paderborn 07Relegation Playoffs6-45
17Union BerlinRelegation6-125
18Borussia MönchengladbachRelegation7-113
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
Werder Bremen
4
Draws
2
SC Paderborn 07

Werder Bremen have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-17Werder Bremen2-2SC Paderborn 07
  • 2026-08-08Werder Bremen2-2SC Paderborn 07
  • 2024-10-30SC Paderborn 070-1Werder Bremen
  • 2022-10-19SC Paderborn 072-2Werder Bremen
  • 2022-01-22SC Paderborn 073-4Werder Bremen
BetGenius

Our record in Bundesliga

66%57 won from 86 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Werder Bremen or Draw
76%
Confidence

Werder Bremen have displayed strong attacking form on home turf, winning both of their home fixtures against RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg while scoring six goals in the process. SC Paderborn 07 have suffered three defeats in five matches and have yet to score away from home in the league, with a 3-0 loss at Dortmund and zero away goals recorded. Although Bremen have sustained a lengthy injury list that could limit their defensive solidity, their superior firepower led by Fullkrug positions them well to take at least a point. Head-to-head history also trends towards high-scoring encounters, with 77.8 percent of their nine previous meetings seeing over 2.5 goals.

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Published October 15, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.