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Sat 19 Sept · 12:00

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 31
Venue: Daugavas stadions
Referee: V. Mordatenko

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

FK Liepaja

57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

BFC Daugavpils

32Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

FK Liepaja or Draw

BetGenius backs FK Liepaja or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

FK Liepaja host BFC Daugavpils in round 31 of the Virsliga, with only four points separating the two sides in fourth and fifth positions. Liepaja enter the fixture on 42 points following two successive draws against Rigas FS and Ogre United, backed by strong underlying home performances where they have collected eight victories from 13 outings.

BFC Daugavpils sit closely behind on 38 points after a run of three draws, one defeat, and one victory across their previous five matches. While they recently earned a 1-1 draw away to Riga, their broader away form shows only two victories from 14 fixtures on the road, alongside 22 goals conceded.

The head-to-head history between these clubs has consistently produced competitive, open encounters. Liepaja remain unbeaten across their four home meetings against Daugavpils in the recorded sample, winning two and drawing two, while the overall ten-match series has produced an average of 3.4 goals per contest.

Analysis

Key factors

FK Liepaja have recorded eight wins and two draws from 13 home league matches this season, averaging 2.0 goals per home match.
BFC Daugavpils have won only two of their 14 away fixtures in the league, drawing six and losing six.
FK Liepaja are unbeaten at home in their last four recorded meetings against BFC Daugavpils, securing two wins and two draws.
Recent head-to-head encounters between the two clubs average 3.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in eight of the last ten meetings.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

FK Liepaja at homeBFC Daugavpils away

Played

8-2-3

W-D-L

2-6-6

Scored /game

1.2

1.1

Conceded /game

1.6

15%

Clean sheets

14%

15%

Failed to score

21%

60%

BTTS (last 5)

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game (FK Liepaja at home plus BFC Daugavpils away).

Players

Key players this season

FK Liepaja

J. Ede2G
A. Ogunniyi1A

BFC Daugavpils

A. Traore2G
D. Kiwinda1G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	33	+57	83
2	Riga	33	+59	79
3	Auda	33	+19	64
4	FK Liepaja	34	0	47
5	BFC Daugavpils	33	+2	45
6	Super Nova	33	-15	38
7	FS Jelgava	33	-22	32
8	Grobiņa	33	-31	29

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

5
FK Liepaja: 2
Draws: 3
BFC Daugavpils

FK Liepaja have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

2026-07-04BFC Daugavpils3-1FK Liepaja
2026-05-17FK Liepaja2-1BFC Daugavpils
2026-04-03BFC Daugavpils2-0FK Liepaja
2025-11-02BFC Daugavpils1-2FK Liepaja
2025-08-16BFC Daugavpils1-2FK Liepaja

BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

FK Liepaja or Draw

74%

Confidence

FK Liepaja have established a reliable record on home soil, winning eight and drawing two of their 13 league matches while averaging two goals scored per home fixture. BFC Daugavpils have struggled for away victories all season, managing just two wins in 14 road games and conceding 22 goals in that stretch. In addition, Liepaja have avoided defeat in all four recorded home head-to-head matches against Daugavpils, making the home side avoiding defeat the most supported outcome.

Explore

FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

FK Liepaja

BFC Daugavpils

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Virsliga

1 published market

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