BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Referee
K. Tohver
Form

Recent form

Flora Tallinn
54Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Paide
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

A crucial Meistriliiga top-four clash unfolds in Tallinn as third-placed Flora Tallinn host fourth-placed Paide, with just three points separating the sides in the battle for European qualification. Flora come into this fixture on 42 points, having shown strong attacking efficiency at home where they average 2.2 goals per game across 11 matches.

Paide sit directly behind their hosts with 39 points and have proven to be an open, high-scoring side away from home this season. Across 12 away matches, Paide have scored 21 goals while conceding 20 (averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded per game), managing only one clean sheet on the road in the process.

Historical clashes between these two Estonian rivals frequently produce action at both ends of the pitch. Over their last 10 head-to-head encounters, both teams have scored in 70% of the matches with an average of 2.8 total goals, including Paide's 2-1 victory on this ground in June 2026 and Flora's 5-1 and 2-1 away wins earlier in the year.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Paide have managed just 1 clean sheet in 12 away league matches, conceding 20 goals while scoring 21 on the road.
  2. Flora Tallinn maintain a 2.2 goals per game scoring average at home, failing to score only once in 11 home matches.
  3. 70% of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between Flora Tallinn and Paide have resulted in both teams scoring.
  4. The teams are separated by just three points in 3rd and 4th place, creating strong competitive incentive for both sides.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Flora Tallinn at homePaide away
17
Played
14
10-0-7
W-D-L
6-5-3
2.1
Scored /game
1.8
1.3
Conceded /game
1.5
35%
Clean sheets
14%
6%
Failed to score
7%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.9 goals per game (Flora Tallinn at home plus Paide away).

Players

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
History

Head-to-head

4
Flora Tallinn
1
Draws
5
Paide

Paide have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Flora Tallinn1-2Paide
  • 2026-06-21Flora Tallinn1-2Paide
  • 2026-05-23Paide1-5Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-04-26Paide1-2Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-02-20Paide1-3Flora Tallinn
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
Confidence

Both sides possess reliable attacking profiles alongside defensive vulnerabilities. Paide have kept just 1 clean sheet in 12 away matches this league campaign while scoring at a rate of 1.8 goals per match on the road. Flora Tallinn average 2.2 goals scored per home match and have failed to score in only 1 of their 11 home fixtures. With 7 of their previous 10 head-to-head meetings seeing both teams score, a mutually productive encounter is probable.

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Published August 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.