Flora Tallinn

Flora’s 14‑point cushion over Laagri, better goal‑scoring average and a 9‑1 head‑to‑head record indicate they are the stronger side. Laagri’s recent home surge narrows the gap but does not erase Flora’s advantage, making a win or draw for the away team the most supported outcome. The historical goal average of 3.1 and a 60% over‑2.5 rate further suggest the match will produce at least three goals, justifying the OVER 2.5 call.

Flora Tallinn possess a substantial advantage across multiple indicators. They hold an 18-point cushion over Vaprus in the standings and average 2.1 goals scored per home match. Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora, who have won eight of the last ten meetings, including all three league matchups in 2026 by scores of 2-0, 2-1, and 2-1. Meanwhile, Vaprus have lost nine of their 14 away matches and conceded 32 goals on their travels.

Flora Tallinn hold second place with 16 wins from 26 matches, backed by eight victories in 12 away trips. In head-to-head meetings, Flora have won six of the eight clashes against Nõmme United. Nõmme United have lost nine of their 13 home games and have not kept a single clean sheet across 27 league outings, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game on home soil. Backing Flora to win or draw covers potential away variance while reflecting their superior league standing and head-to-head dominance.

Flora Tallinn to win — 78% confidence

Flora Tallinn possess a 31-point advantage over Trans Narva in the standings and have won eight of their 12 away league matches this season. Trans Narva have lost 19 of their 26 league fixtures and remain winless in their last 10 meetings against Flora, failing to score in the last four consecutive encounters between the two clubs.

Over 2.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Trans Narva concede an average of 2.3 goals per game overall and have allowed 60 goals across 26 league matches. Flora Tallinn average 2.0 goals scored per match and their last five league games have all produced three or more goals. Additionally, seven of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, averaging 3.3 total goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Trans Narva concede an average of 2.3 goals per game overall and have allowed 60 goals across 26 league matches. Flora Tallinn average 2.0 goals scored per match and their last five league games have all produced three or more goals. Additionally, seven of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, averaging 3.3 total goals.

Flora Tallinn possess a 31-point advantage over Trans Narva in the standings and have won eight of their 12 away league matches this season. Trans Narva have lost 19 of their 26 league fixtures and remain winless in their last 10 meetings against Flora, failing to score in the last four consecutive encounters between the two clubs.

Flora Tallinn have taken 21 points from 13 home league games and enter the match with momentum after a 3-2 win against Tammeka. Kalju Nomme have struggled recently, losing their last three matches across all competitions. Backing Flora to take at least a point offers solid value in a derby where Flora have already won the previous league encounter this season.

Both teams finding the net is strongly supported by historical trends and current defensive metrics. Nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Flora Tallinn and Tammeka have seen both sides score, producing an average of 3.3 goals per game. Flora Tallinn maintain a reliable home scoring average of 2.1 goals per match, failing to score only once in 12 home league matches this season. However, Flora have conceded 12 goals across their last five matches in all competitions. Tammeka enter having won five consecutive games and scored in each, including three goals against Flora just a week ago.

Both sides possess reliable attacking profiles alongside defensive vulnerabilities. Paide have kept just 1 clean sheet in 12 away matches this league campaign while scoring at a rate of 1.8 goals per match on the road. Flora Tallinn average 2.2 goals scored per home match and have failed to score in only 1 of their 11 home fixtures. With 7 of their previous 10 head-to-head meetings seeing both teams score, a mutually productive encounter is probable.

Flora Tallinn sit 10 points ahead of Tammeka in third place and possess the division's higher scoring rate (2.0 goals per game overall, 1.8 away). While Tammeka won the last head-to-head meeting 3-1, Flora have won seven of the past 10 meetings between the sides. Given Tammeka's solid home record of six wins in 11 matches, covering the double chance on Flora Tallinn provides the best balance of safety and probability.