BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 30
Referee
V. Spasjonnikovs
Form

Recent form

Grobiņa
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

FS Jelgava
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
FS Jelgava or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs FS Jelgava or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Grobiņa host FS Jelgava in round 30 of the Virsliga with both clubs seeking points in the lower half of the table. Jelgava sit seventh on 31 points, seven points clear of eighth-placed Grobiņa, who have accumulated 24 points across their 29 league outings.

Grobiņa have struggled for offensive output all season, managing just 20 goals in 29 fixtures, which represents an average of 0.7 goals per game. Their home record stands at three wins, five draws, and six defeats from 14 matches, having failed to find the net in seven of those home games.

FS Jelgava have displayed greater competence on their travels than on home soil, picking up four wins and five draws from 14 away matches while scoring 19 goals. With the previous three encounters between these teams in 2026 producing scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, a low-scoring and tightly contested affair is anticipated.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Grobiņa at homeFS Jelgava away
16
Played
15
4-6-6
W-D-L
4-6-5
0.9
Scored /game
1.3
1.3
Conceded /game
1.6
31%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
Failed to score
40%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Grobiņa at home plus FS Jelgava away).

Players

Key players this season

Grobiņa

  • M. Corryn3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4FK Liepaja34047
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums34-2125
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

4
Grobiņa
2
Draws
4
FS Jelgava

the last 10 meetings are split 4-4 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-06-29FS Jelgava2-0Grobiņa
  • 2026-05-11Grobiņa0-0FS Jelgava
  • 2026-03-21FS Jelgava0-1Grobiņa
  • 2025-08-29Grobiņa3-2FS Jelgava
  • 2025-06-22FS Jelgava0-1Grobiņa
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
FS Jelgava or Draw + Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

FS Jelgava or Draw — 68% confidence

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

Under 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Grobiņa have the weakest attacking return in this section of the table, registering only 20 goals across 29 league matches and failing to score in 14 of them. In addition, each of the three head-to-head meetings between these clubs in 2026 finished under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, and 1-0, while 70 percent of their last ten encounters overall stayed below the 2.5 goal threshold.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
FS Jelgava or Draw
68%
Confidence

FS Jelgava have proved difficult to beat on the road, suffering only five defeats in 14 away games with four wins and five draws. In contrast, Grobiņa have managed just three wins from 14 home fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five league outings.

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Published September 10, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.