BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 27
Venue
Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Referee
K. Tohver
Form

Recent form

Kalju Nomme
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -3 goal difference

Nõmme United
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw (Combo Bet) at 76% confidence — a strong call.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Kalju Nomme host local rivals Nõmme United in Meistriliiga round 27 looking to halt a difficult run of results. Kalju currently sit third in the table with 44 points but enter this encounter on the back of four straight defeats, including narrow setbacks against Flora Tallinn and league leaders FC Levadia Tallinn. Despite that recent dip, they remain potent at home, where they have scored 29 goals across 13 matches.

Nõmme United occupy ninth place in the relegation zone with 25 points from 26 matches. Defensive frailties have undermined their campaign, having failed to keep a clean sheet in all 26 league fixtures while conceding 61 goals in total, including an average of 2.6 goals against per game on their travels.

Head-to-head history heavily favours the hosts, who are unbeaten across six recorded meetings with four wins and two draws. Both meetings between these sides in the 2026 campaign produced high scorelines, with Kalju claiming a 7-1 home win in April and a 3-1 away victory in July.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Kalju Nomme at homeNõmme United away
15
Played
14
7-3-5
W-D-L
5-1-8
2.1
Scored /game
1.3
1.1
Conceded /game
2.5
20%
Clean sheets
0%
7%
Failed to score
21%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.4 goals per game (Kalju Nomme at home plus Nõmme United away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

4
Kalju Nomme
2
Draws
1
Nõmme United

Kalju Nomme have won 4 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, 71% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-08Kalju Nomme1-2Nõmme United
  • 2026-07-03Nõmme United1-3Kalju Nomme
  • 2026-04-22Kalju Nomme7-1Nõmme United
  • 2024-09-18Kalju Nomme3-0Nõmme United
  • 2024-07-19Nõmme United0-4Kalju Nomme
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Kalju Nomme or Draw
76%
Both must land · no better than

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Goals are consistently seen in matches involving Nõmme United, who have conceded 61 times across 26 league matches without keeping a single clean sheet. Kalju Nomme average 2.2 goals per home fixture, and both meetings between the two sides this season comfortably cleared the 2.5 goal line with 7-1 and 3-1 scorelines.

Kalju Nomme or Draw — 78% confidence

Kalju Nomme have never lost to Nõmme United in six head-to-head encounters, winning four and drawing two. Although Kalju have suffered recent defeats against top-table sides, Nõmme United have lost eight of their 13 away league matches and sit 19 points behind their hosts.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Kalju Nomme or Draw
78%
Confidence

Kalju Nomme have never lost to Nõmme United in six head-to-head encounters, winning four and drawing two. Although Kalju have suffered recent defeats against top-table sides, Nõmme United have lost eight of their 13 away league matches and sit 19 points behind their hosts.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Goals are consistently seen in matches involving Nõmme United, who have conceded 61 times across 26 league matches without keeping a single clean sheet. Kalju Nomme average 2.2 goals per home fixture, and both meetings between the two sides this season comfortably cleared the 2.5 goal line with 7-1 and 3-1 scorelines.

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Published September 6, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.