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Sun 6 Sept · 15:00

Laagri vs Tammeka prediction

Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Referee
K. Laane
Form

Recent form

Laagri
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +15 goal difference

Tammeka
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Laagri or Draw

BetGenius backs Laagri or Draw (Double Chance) at 62% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

62%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Laagri host Tammeka in the 26th round of the Meistriliiga. Laagri sit sixth with 31 points, while Tammeka are fifth with 38 points. Both sides have similar goal‑scoring records this season – Laagri average 1.8 goals at home and concede 1.5, Tammeka average 1.3 on the road and concede 1.9.\n\nLaagri have won three of their last five home games but also lost two, whereas Tammeka come into the match on a four‑match winning streak, including three recent away victories. Historically Laagri have the edge at home – three wins, one loss and one draw in their five meetings at this venue – but Tammeka dominate the overall head‑to‑head record, winning six of ten encounters.\n\nGoal‑rich games are common in this fixture history: the last ten meetings produced an average of 3.2 goals and 80 % went over 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown the ability to score, yet recent matches suggest a modest total might be possible.\n\nGiven Laagri’s home advantage and the tight gap in the table, the safest bet is to back Laagri to avoid defeat while the goal tally is likely to exceed 2.5.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Laagri have a better home record (1.8 GF, 1.5 GA) than Tammeka’s away record (1.3 GF, 1.9 GA)
  2. Tammeka are on a four‑match winning streak but have scored only once in their two most recent away games
  3. Head‑to‑head at Laagri’s ground: Laagri 3‑1‑1 in the last five matches
  4. 80 % of the last ten meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Laagri at homeTammeka away
17
Played
14
8-2-7
W-D-L
7-1-6
1.6
Scored /game
1.4
1.2
Conceded /game
1.7
47%
Clean sheets
36%
18%
Failed to score
21%
0%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Laagri at home plus Tammeka away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
History

Head-to-head

3
Laagri
1
Draws
6
Tammeka

Tammeka have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-07-05Tammeka2-1Laagri
  • 2026-04-25Laagri1-0Tammeka
  • 2025-10-22Laagri2-2Tammeka
  • 2025-08-31Tammeka3-0Laagri
  • 2025-06-13Tammeka2-1Laagri
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Laagri or Draw
62%
Confidence

Laagri’s home record (1.8 goals scored per game, 5 clean sheets) and a favourable head‑to‑head trend at this ground give them a solid chance to pick up at least a point. Tammeka are in good form but have struggled to score on the road in recent games, which reduces the likelihood of a Laagri loss. The combination of Laagka’s home edge and Tammeka’s modest away attack supports a double‑chance on the home side. The same data set shows that 80 % of the last ten meetings produced over 2.5 goals, justifying an over‑2.5 total.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.