BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 28
Referee
K. Kulljastinen
Form

Recent form

Nõmme United
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Flora Tallinn
54Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw

BetGenius backs Flora Tallinn or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Nõmme United host Flora Tallinn at the Regular Season round 28 stage of the Meistriliiga. The hosts sit in eighth place on 28 points, having endured 17 defeats in their 27 league matches, while conceding 62 goals across the campaign. Despite a recent 2-1 away victory against Kalju Nomme, their defensive record remains vulnerable, having recorded zero clean sheets this season.

Flora Tallinn enter the match positioned second in the standings with 49 points, maintaining a 21-point advantage over their opponents. The visitors have demonstrated solid form away from home with eight wins from 12 road fixtures, netting 21 goals in the process while conceding 16.

Head-to-head history heavily favours Flora Tallinn, who have won six of the eight recorded encounters between the two clubs, including a decisive 4-0 away win at Nõmme United earlier this season. With Nõmme United struggling for defensive solidity and Flora chasing European qualification, the visitors are positioned to take points from this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flora Tallinn sit second in the league table with 49 points, 21 points ahead of eighth-placed Nõmme United.
  2. Flora Tallinn have won six of the eight historical meetings between the two sides.
  3. Nõmme United have kept zero clean sheets in 27 league matches this season, conceding 62 goals.
  4. Flora Tallinn possess an away record of eight wins and four defeats across 12 road matches.
  5. Nõmme United have suffered nine losses in 13 home league fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nõmme United at homeFlora Tallinn away
14
Played
15
4-0-10
W-D-L
9-1-5
2
Scored /game
1.7
2.1
Conceded /game
1.5
0%
Clean sheets
27%
14%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Nõmme United at home plus Flora Tallinn away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
10Trans NarvaRelegation - Esiliiga33-4920
History

Head-to-head

1
Nõmme United
1
Draws
6
Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn have won 6 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, 63% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-17Flora Tallinn1-2Nõmme United
  • 2026-05-29Nõmme United0-4Flora Tallinn
  • 2026-03-10Flora Tallinn3-1Nõmme United
  • 2026-03-07Flora Tallinn3-0Nõmme United
  • 2024-10-05Nõmme United0-4Flora Tallinn
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Flora Tallinn or Draw
76%
Confidence

Flora Tallinn hold second place with 16 wins from 26 matches, backed by eight victories in 12 away trips. In head-to-head meetings, Flora have won six of the eight clashes against Nõmme United. Nõmme United have lost nine of their 13 home games and have not kept a single clean sheet across 27 league outings, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game on home soil. Backing Flora to win or draw covers potential away variance while reflecting their superior league standing and head-to-head dominance.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.