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Sun 13 Sept · 12:30

Paide vs Laagri prediction

Round
Regular Season - 28
Venue
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
Referee
J. Frischer
Form

Recent form

Paide
60Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Laagri
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +15 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Paide (draw no bet) + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Paide (draw no bet) + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 70% confidence — a solid call.

70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Third-placed Paide host seventh-placed Laagri in round 28 of the Meistriliiga, with 14 points separating the two sides in the table. Paide remain firmly in the European qualification zone with 45 points from 26 matches, having recorded 13 wins and seven draws so far this season.

Laagri come into the match seeking consistency after a campaign defined by extremes, recording 10 victories and 16 defeats from 27 fixtures with just one draw overall. Their record away from home has been particularly fragile, losing nine of their 13 road games while conceding 25 goals in the process.

Paide have enjoyed the upper hand on home soil against Laagri, recording three wins and a draw across four previous meetings at this venue. Given Laagri's defensive difficulties on their travels and Paide's solid home record of seven wins from 12 outings, the hosts hold the clearer advantages heading into kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Paide at homeLaagri away
14
Played
15
8-1-5
W-D-L
6-0-9
1.4
Scored /game
1.2
1
Conceded /game
1.7
36%
Clean sheets
13%
14%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Paide at home plus Laagri away).

Players

Key players this season

Paide

  • Daniel Cabral5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FC Levadia TallinnPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)32+6581
2Flora TallinnPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)33+1658
3PaidePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)32+1357
4Kalju Nomme32+2151
5Tammeka33-550
6Laagri33047
7Vaprus33-2236
8Kuressaare32-1735
9Nõmme UnitedMeistriliiga (Relegation)33-2234
History

Head-to-head

6
Paide
2
Draws
2
Laagri

Paide have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-19Laagri5-2Paide
  • 2026-06-17Paide1-0Laagri
  • 2026-04-22Laagri2-2Paide
  • 2025-09-20Laagri3-0Paide
  • 2025-08-03Paide2-0Laagri
BetGenius

Our record in Meistriliiga

60%29 won from 48 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Paide (draw no bet) + Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Both must land · no better than

Paide (draw no bet) — 75% confidence

Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
Confidence

Matches involving these two teams regularly feature goals, fitting a competition where matches average 3.12 goals overall. Laagri's away fixtures have produced 40 goals across 13 matches, with the visitors conceding 1.90 goals per game on the road. Additionally, 60 percent of the ten head-to-head encounters between the sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, including their most recent meeting which produced seven goals.

Combo BetLOST
Draw No Bet
Paide (draw no bet)
75%
Confidence

Paide sit third in the standings and have collected seven wins from 12 home matches, conceding an average of only one goal per game on home turf. Laagri have been vulnerable away from home, suffering nine losses in 13 away fixtures. With Paide unbeaten at home in four head-to-head clashes against Laagri, taking the hosts in the draw no bet market provides strong security against the possibility of a level scoreline.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.