BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 30
Referee
E. Malcevs
Form

Recent form

Ogre United
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

FK Liepaja
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
FK Liepaja to win + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs FK Liepaja to win + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Bottom-placed Ogre United host fourth-placed FK Liepaja in round 30 of the Virsliga. Ogre United have endured a difficult campaign, sitting tenth with 14 points from 28 matches and conceding 73 goals. They enter this fixture on a five-match losing run in league play, having suffered defeats against Tukums, Rigas FS, FS Jelgava, BFC Daugavpils, and Riga.

FK Liepaja come into this fixture on 41 points after 29 matches, sitting fourth in the table. Their recent outings include a 0-0 away draw against table-toppers Rigas FS and a 3-2 home victory against second-placed Riga. They hold a clear head-to-head advantage this season, having won all three previous league encounters against Ogre United by scores of 1-0, 4-1, and 4-0.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ogre United at homeFK Liepaja away
16
Played
17
2-5-9
W-D-L
4-4-9
1.1
Scored /game
0.9
2
Conceded /game
1.7
6%
Clean sheets
18%
25%
Failed to score
41%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Ogre United at home plus FK Liepaja away).

Players

Key players this season

FK Liepaja

  • J. Ede2G
  • A. Ogunniyi1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Rīgas FS33+5783
2Riga33+5979
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja34047
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums34-2125
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

0
Ogre United
0
Draws
3
FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-06-30FK Liepaja4-0Ogre United
  • 2026-05-12FK Liepaja4-1Ogre United
  • 2026-03-20Ogre United0-1FK Liepaja
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
FK Liepaja to win + Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Both must land · no better than

FK Liepaja to win — 73% confidence

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

Combo BetLOST
Match Winner
FK Liepaja to win
73%
Confidence

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

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Published September 9, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.