Ogre United

Ogre United have conceded 81 goals in 33 league fixtures, giving up an average of 2.0 goals per game at home and keeping only two clean sheets all season. Auda have failed to score in just one of their 16 away matches and average 1.5 goals scored per trip. Four of the last five matches for each side have produced at least two goals, providing strong backing for over 1.5 match goals. However, stepping up to over 2.5 is not adequately supported by the evidence. None of the three previous meetings between these teams this season saw three goals, ending in 1-1, 2-0, and 1-0 scorelines with an average of 1.67 goals per game. Furthermore, Auda's defence has conceded only 18 goals in 16 away games, and Ogre United have scored just once across all three meetings with Auda. Two or more goals aligns well with the defensive and attacking records, but a third goal lacks sufficient statistical backing.

Auda carry an extensive advantage across the season's sample. The 46-point difference between third-placed Auda and tenth-placed Ogre United reflects a substantial gulf in quality. Ogre United have lost 23 of their 33 league fixtures and conceded 81 goals, demonstrating persistent defensive instability. Auda have won nine of their 16 away fixtures, conceded only 34 goals in total, and kept 13 clean sheets. Having already beaten Ogre United twice this season without defeat, the visitors are well positioned to take maximum points.

Ogre United have found goalscoring difficult across the campaign, managing only 33 goals in 33 matches and failing to score in ten fixtures. They face an Auda side that concedes approximately one goal per game and has kept 13 clean sheets. In head-to-head encounters, Ogre United failed to find the net in both of the last two meetings, losing 1-0 and 2-0. The combination of Auda's solid defensive record and the hosts' offensive struggles points toward at least one clean sheet.

BTTS No — 62% confidence

Ogre United have found goalscoring difficult across the campaign, managing only 33 goals in 33 matches and failing to score in ten fixtures. They face an Auda side that concedes approximately one goal per game and has kept 13 clean sheets. In head-to-head encounters, Ogre United failed to find the net in both of the last two meetings, losing 1-0 and 2-0. The combination of Auda's solid defensive record and the hosts' offensive struggles points toward at least one clean sheet.

Auda to win — 76% confidence

Auda carry an extensive advantage across the season's sample. The 46-point difference between third-placed Auda and tenth-placed Ogre United reflects a substantial gulf in quality. Ogre United have lost 23 of their 33 league fixtures and conceded 81 goals, demonstrating persistent defensive instability. Auda have won nine of their 16 away fixtures, conceded only 34 goals in total, and kept 13 clean sheets. Having already beaten Ogre United twice this season without defeat, the visitors are well positioned to take maximum points.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and match winner), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Super Nova or Draw — 76% confidence

Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.

Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.

Auda hold a decisive statistical edge across all key metrics. They sit third in the table with 57 points, having won 9 of their 15 home fixtures with a goal difference of plus 12 at home. Ogre United sit in tenth place with 20 defeats in 28 league matches, including 12 losses from 15 away games where they concede an average of 3.0 goals per game. The previous meeting at Auda resulted in a comfortable 2-0 home victory.

FK Liepaja to win — 73% confidence

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ogre United have conceded 73 goals in 28 matches, giving up an average of 2.2 goals per home match and keeping zero clean sheets at home this season. All five of Ogre United's most recent matches have produced three or more total goals, and their head-to-head meetings with FK Liepaja have averaged 3.33 goals per match.

FK Liepaja possess a decisive advantage across table position, recent form, and head-to-head records. Ogre United have lost 20 of their 28 league matches, including each of their last five, while conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game overall. With Liepaja having already defeated Ogre United three times in 2026 by an aggregate score of 9-1, the visitors are well placed to secure all three points.

Both defences have leaked goals consistently throughout the season. Ogre United concede an average of 3.1 goals per game away from home and have conceded at least three goals in four of their last five matches. Tukums average 1.8 goals scored per home game while conceding 1.6 on home soil. The three head-to-head fixtures between the sides this campaign produced scorelines of 1-1, 6-1, and 3-2, averaging 4.67 goals per match.

Over 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Both defences have leaked goals consistently throughout the season. Ogre United concede an average of 3.1 goals per game away from home and have conceded at least three goals in four of their last five matches. Tukums average 1.8 goals scored per home game while conceding 1.6 on home soil. The three head-to-head fixtures between the sides this campaign produced scorelines of 1-1, 6-1, and 3-2, averaging 4.67 goals per match.

Tukums or Draw — 76% confidence

Tukums have avoided defeat in eight of their 14 home league matches, including four victories, and previously defeated Ogre United 6-1 at home. Ogre United have lost 11 of their 14 away fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five matches in the league. Backing Tukums to win or draw covers the most frequent outcomes suggested by the visitors poor away record.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Tukums have avoided defeat in eight of their 14 home league matches, including four victories, and previously defeated Ogre United 6-1 at home. Ogre United have lost 11 of their 14 away fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five matches in the league. Backing Tukums to win or draw covers the most frequent outcomes suggested by the visitors poor away record.

Rīgas FS demonstrate an overwhelming statistical advantage across all key metrics. They top the table with 66 points and hold a 12-0-1 away record, compared to bottom-placed Ogre United's 1-4-7 home record. Having won all three head-to-head meetings this season with an aggregate score of 12-3, the visitors present an exceptionally strong case for an outright victory even under strict tier criteria.