BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 31
Referee
D. Kozlovs
Form

Recent form

Ogre United
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Super Nova
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Super Nova or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Super Nova or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 67% confidence — a solid call.

67%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Ogre United host Super Nova in Virsliga action with the two sides at contrasting ends of the table. Ogre United remain rooted to the bottom of the standings with 15 points from 30 matches, having managed just three victories all season. Super Nova sit in 6th place with 35 points and enter this contest looking to consolidate their position in mid-table.

Defensive vulnerabilities have plagued Ogre United throughout the campaign, having conceded 75 goals in 29 recorded league fixtures and failing to keep a single clean sheet across 14 home outings. In contrast, Super Nova have proven notably resilient on their travels, securing 7 wins from 14 away matches while conceding only 14 goals on the road. Super Nova also carry momentum from a four-match unbeaten streak.

Previous encounters between these two clubs point towards an open contest. Across their five recorded meetings, Super Nova hold three wins to Ogre United's one, with four of those five clashes producing three or more goals.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ogre United at homeSuper Nova away
16
Played
17
2-5-9
W-D-L
7-2-8
1.1
Scored /game
0.9
2
Conceded /game
1.2
6%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
Failed to score
35%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Ogre United at home plus Super Nova away).

Players

Key players this season

Super Nova

  • M. Ošs3G
  • R. Ķiršs2G
  • R. Šitjakovs1G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
3Auda33+1964
4FK Liepaja34047
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums34-2125
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

1
Ogre United
1
Draws
3
Super Nova

Super Nova have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.

  • 2026-07-06Super Nova1-2Ogre United
  • 2026-05-16Super Nova3-1Ogre United
  • 2026-04-03Ogre United1-2Super Nova
  • 2024-11-10Super Nova3-0Ogre United
  • 2024-07-27Ogre United1-1Super Nova
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedLOST
Combo Bet
Super Nova or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both must land · no better than

Super Nova or Draw — 76% confidence

Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Confidence

Ogre United have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per home game this season. Additionally, 80 percent of the previous five meetings between Ogre United and Super Nova have produced over 2.5 goals.

Combo BetLOST
Double Chance
Super Nova or Draw
76%
Confidence

Super Nova have demonstrated superior consistency away from home, taking seven wins from 14 road matches while conceding just one goal per game. Ogre United have managed only one win in 14 home fixtures and have conceded 30 goals in that span, making the visitors well placed to secure at least a point.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.