Tukums

Tukums have gathered all 23 of their season points at home where they average 1.8 goals scored per match across 15 fixtures. Grobina have struggled for offensive output on the road, netting only eight goals in 15 away outings while conceding 32. Given Grobina's nine away defeats and Tukums' relative stability at home, the hosts hold the upper hand to take at least a point from this encounter.

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides, including all four encounters played in 2026. Tukums have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away fixtures this season while still averaging 1.1 goals scored per away game. Super Nova also concede an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, making goals for both sides a recurring pattern.

Super Nova or Draw — 76% confidence

Tukums have endured a miserable away campaign, remaining winless in 14 road games with 10 losses and 36 goals conceded. Super Nova have maintained an edge in direct encounters this year, avoiding defeat in all four 2026 meetings with three wins and one draw. Backing Super Nova to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on Tukums defensive fragility outside their home ground.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Tukums have endured a miserable away campaign, remaining winless in 14 road games with 10 losses and 36 goals conceded. Super Nova have maintained an edge in direct encounters this year, avoiding defeat in all four 2026 meetings with three wins and one draw. Backing Super Nova to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on Tukums defensive fragility outside their home ground.

Both teams to score has landed in 80 percent of the last ten meetings between these sides, including all four encounters played in 2026. Tukums have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their 14 away fixtures this season while still averaging 1.1 goals scored per away game. Super Nova also concede an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, making goals for both sides a recurring pattern.

Both defences have leaked goals consistently throughout the season. Ogre United concede an average of 3.1 goals per game away from home and have conceded at least three goals in four of their last five matches. Tukums average 1.8 goals scored per home game while conceding 1.6 on home soil. The three head-to-head fixtures between the sides this campaign produced scorelines of 1-1, 6-1, and 3-2, averaging 4.67 goals per match.

Over 2.5 Goals — 75% confidence

Both defences have leaked goals consistently throughout the season. Ogre United concede an average of 3.1 goals per game away from home and have conceded at least three goals in four of their last five matches. Tukums average 1.8 goals scored per home game while conceding 1.6 on home soil. The three head-to-head fixtures between the sides this campaign produced scorelines of 1-1, 6-1, and 3-2, averaging 4.67 goals per match.

Tukums or Draw — 76% confidence

Tukums have avoided defeat in eight of their 14 home league matches, including four victories, and previously defeated Ogre United 6-1 at home. Ogre United have lost 11 of their 14 away fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five matches in the league. Backing Tukums to win or draw covers the most frequent outcomes suggested by the visitors poor away record.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Tukums have avoided defeat in eight of their 14 home league matches, including four victories, and previously defeated Ogre United 6-1 at home. Ogre United have lost 11 of their 14 away fixtures and enter this match having lost four of their last five matches in the league. Backing Tukums to win or draw covers the most frequent outcomes suggested by the visitors poor away record.

Tukums have collected all four of their season wins at home, posting a 4-4-5 record while failing to score in only one of their 13 home fixtures (averaging 1.8 goals per match). FS Jelgava have won only three of 13 away matches and remain winless in five recorded head-to-head visits to Tukums (two losses, three draws), including a 5-0 loss on this ground in May 2026. Double chance covering Tukums or a draw offers a well-supported, balanced position.