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Sun 20 Sept · 14:00

Tukums vs Grobiņa prediction

Round
Regular Season - 31
Referee
K. Ratnieks
Form

Recent form

Tukums
25Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -8 goal difference

Grobiņa
47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Tukums or Draw

BetGenius backs Tukums or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Tukums host Grobina in round 31 of the Virsliga in a crucial clash at the lower end of the table. Grobina enter the match in eighth place with 25 points from 30 matches, sitting just two points ahead of ninth-placed Tukums on 23 points. With only five wins apiece this season, both sides will view this fixture as a significant opportunity to gain ground in the standings.

Home advantage could prove pivotal in this encounter. Tukums have recorded all five of their league victories on home soil, accumulating a record of five wins, four draws, and six defeats with 27 goals scored across 15 matches. Grobina, meanwhile, have found travel difficult throughout the campaign, managing only two wins and four draws while suffering nine defeats and scoring just eight goals in 15 away fixtures.

Recent head-to-head encounters between these clubs have produced competitive matches. In the previous ten meetings between the two teams, Grobina hold five wins to Tukums' three, with two draws. However, in the four fixtures hosted by Tukums, the home team has taken two victories and one draw while losing once.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Tukums have earned all five of their league victories at home, scoring 27 goals across 15 matches.
  2. Grobina have managed only eight goals in 15 away matches, losing nine times on their travels.
  3. Tukums have lost only one of their four previous home meetings against Grobina.
  4. The two sides are separated by two points in the table, with Grobina on 25 points and Tukums on 23 after 30 matches.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tukums at homeGrobiņa away
15
Played
17
5-4-6
W-D-L
2-5-10
1.8
Scored /game
0.6
1.5
Conceded /game
2.1
7%
Clean sheets
12%
7%
Failed to score
41%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Tukums at home plus Grobiņa away).

Players

Key players this season

Grobiņa

  • M. Corryn3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5BFC Daugavpils33+245
6Super Nova33-1538
7FS Jelgava33-2232
8Grobiņa33-3129
9Tukums34-2125
10Ogre United33-4818
History

Head-to-head

3
Tukums
3
Draws
4
Grobiņa

Grobiņa have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-09-20Tukums1-1Grobiņa
  • 2026-07-05Grobiņa3-1Tukums
  • 2026-05-15Grobiņa3-3Tukums
  • 2026-04-05Tukums1-1Grobiņa
  • 2025-10-04Grobiņa1-0Tukums
BetGenius

Our record in Virsliga

55%22 won from 40 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Tukums or Draw
72%
Confidence

Tukums have gathered all 23 of their season points at home where they average 1.8 goals scored per match across 15 fixtures. Grobina have struggled for offensive output on the road, netting only eight goals in 15 away outings while conceding 32. Given Grobina's nine away defeats and Tukums' relative stability at home, the hosts hold the upper hand to take at least a point from this encounter.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.